Question Feed | Metaculus

1 comment

Occupation Forecast Pages

0 comments

125 forecasters

Will a new U.S. Ukraine aid or defense-loan bill authorizing at least $5 billion become law before S

18%chance

5.2% today

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

122 forecasters

Will the US and India finalise a trade agreement before Aug 2026?

67%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

118 forecasters

Will an Israel–Hezbollah ceasefire enter into effect before September 1, 2026?

55%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

122 forecasters

Will USTR announce a final Section 301 forced-labor tariff action covering at least 30 economies bef

65%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

117 forecasters

Will Ukraine announce a presidential election before September 1, 2026?

12%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

118 forecasters

Will the Liberal Party nominate Flávio Bolsonaro before August 15, 2026?

86%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

115 forecasters

Will any country outside UEFA and CONMEBOL reach the semifinals of the 2026 FIFA World Cup before Ju

30%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

116 forecasters

Will the New START nuclear arms control agreement be renewed until at least February 5, 2027, before

8%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

114 forecasters

What will be the Accumulated Cyclone Energy of the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season on September 1, 20

Latest estimate

25.8 10^4 kt^2

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

117 forecasters

Will FDA approve veligrotug for thyroid eye disease before September 1, 2026?

85%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

116 forecasters

NYSEARCA: ILS two-day loss >=$0.25 before Sep 2026?

16%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

114 forecasters

Which month will have the highest officially reported TSMC consolidated net revenue among May, June,

May 202620.7%

June 202634.5%

July 202644.8%

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

115 forecasters

Will FDA approve Orca-T for hematologic malignancies before September 1, 2026?

76.3%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

113 forecasters

Will the English Wikipedia have at least 7,235,000 articles before September 1, 2026?

39.4%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

112 forecasters

Will the Bank of England raise Bank Rate before August 1, 2026?

17%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

111 forecasters

Will traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal before Sept 2026?

45.6%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

107 forecasters

What will be the rise in average hourly earnings for all employees on U.S. private nonfarm payrolls

Latest estimate

0.113 $

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

110 forecasters

How many migrant missing and dead in the Mediterranean will the IOM Missing Migrants Project record

Latest estimate

1823 people

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

105 forecasters

Which party’s candidate will win the 2026 Saalekreis Landrat election?

Alternative for Germany (AfD)55.6%

Christian Democratic Union (CDU)44.4%

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

106 forecasters

Community beats Dylan Matthews in Summer 2026 Cup

60%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

103 forecasters

Will Zelenskyy & Putin meet in person before September 1, 2026?

10%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

4 comments

13 forecasters

When will Claude Fable 5 next be publicly accessible?

0 comments

120 forecasters

Will FDA approve atacicept for IgA nephropathy before July 15, 2026?

82.2%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.