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100 forecasters

Will OpenAI, Google DeepMind, or Anthropic announce that they are pausing all training runs above a certain size for safety reasons, before 2026?

8%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
100 forecasters

Will the United States conduct a military attack within Nigeria before 2026?

12%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
100 forecasters

Will NVIDIA's stock price close above $220 or below $180 on any single day before November 22, 2025?

45%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
99 forecasters

Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026?

5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
99 forecasters

Will the number of deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections per year double by December 31, 2025?

8%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
99 forecasters

Will Virgin Galactic file for bankruptcy protection before 2026?

10%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
95 forecasters

Will 3M file for bankruptcy before 2026?

4%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
93 forecasters

Will the United States reopen cattle imports from Mexico before 2026?

25%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
89 forecasters

What will be the number of Palestinian deaths in Gaza during the late 2025 ceasefire?

Latest estimate
1731 deaths

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
100 forecasters

Will US offer India a nuclear submarine before 2026?

5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.