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Launched: The RAND x Metaculus Policy Challenge | $10K in Prizes for Students | + Optional Oct 2 Live Event

5
44 comments
RAND x Metaculus Policy Challenge
0 comments
99 forecasters

Will the US government be shut down before October 2, 2025?

74%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
100 forecasters

Will there be a stronger hurricane than Erin during the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?

25%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
98 forecasters

Will Brazil ban the 6x1 work schedule before 1 January 2026?

15%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
93 forecasters

Who will win the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Championship?

Oscar Piastri41.1%
Lando Norris28.6%
Max Verstappen22.6%

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
91 forecasters

How many times will Starship reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2025?

232.3%
126.3%
321.9%

This question is closed for forecasting.

8 comments
13 forecasters

What American college football team will be ranked first in the AP Poll on November 1, 2025?

Ohio StateUpcoming
Penn StateUpcoming
LSUUpcoming
1 comment
16 forecasters

Will there be a successful coup d’état in Africa before December 2025?

Current estimate
Revealed in 2 days
0 comments
100 forecasters

Will Elon Musk have double the wealth of the second richest person on any day before 2026?

10%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
98 forecasters

Will real housing prices in the US increase more in 2025 compared to 2024?

35%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.