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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

15%chance

When will the first major tech company offer a university course taught primarily by AI?

04 Apr 2030

Will a university other than Oxford or Cambridge be ranked first in the Times & Sunday Times Good University Guide 2023 again?

resultNo

By 2050, will there be fewer than 400 public 4-year colleges in the US?

30.9%chance

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

15%chance

What will be the total number of fatalities from terrorism in the world in the following years?

condition

Xi Jinping Leader of China in 2030?

18 forecasters
if yes
if no

US-China war before 2035?

21%
21%

US-China war before 2035?

15%
15%
4
no comments0
The Taiwan Tinderbox
condition

China Nuclear Threat For Taiwan Interference?

9 forecasters
if yes
if no

US-China war before 2035?

23%
23%

US-China war before 2035?

23%
23%
1
no comments0
The Taiwan Tinderbox
condition

US Says Will Use Nukes to Defend Taiwan?

18 forecasters
if yes
if no

US-China war before 2035?

4%
4%

US-China war before 2035?

5%
5%
3
1 comment1
The Taiwan Tinderbox
condition

EV Sales Share Above 11% in US in 2024?

Resolved:No
12 forecasters
if yes
if no

Level 2 or Greater Public Charging Stations (2025)

71.2k
Resolved:Annulled

Level 2 or Greater Public Charging Stations (2025)

70.3k
Resolved:69.642k stations
2
2 comments2
Conditional Cup