Question Feed | Metaculus

Topics

Will there be 10 or more nuclear-armed states at any time before 2035?

Will there be a "World War Three" before 2050?

Key Factor

All five geographical regions defined by SIPRI saw rises in military spending for the first time since 2009, with Europe, the Middle East, Asia, and Oceania recording particularly large increases.

Will Russia successfully land on the Moon with their first attempt?

resultNo

Will the Chandrayaan-3 lander soft-land on the moon?

resultYes

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

22%chance

How many nuclear weapons will there be in world stockpiles in the following years?

How many spacecraft will land on the moon from 2022 through 2025?

6.01

spacecraft

Will there be 10 or more nuclear-armed states at any time before 2035?

Will there be a "World War Three" before 2050?

Key Factor

Key Factor

Will Russia successfully land on the Moon with their first attempt?

Will the Chandrayaan-3 lander soft-land on the moon?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

When will the first human mission to Venus take place?

Will Russia use chemical weapons in Ukraine in 2022?

Will the next Russian leader disapprove of the Russian invasion of Ukraine?

How many nuclear weapons will there be in world stockpiles in the following years?

How many spacecraft will land on the moon from 2022 through 2025?

Will there be 10 or more nuclear-armed states at any time before 2035?

Will there be a "World War Three" before 2050?

Key Factor

Key Factor

Will Russia successfully land on the Moon with their first attempt?

Will the Chandrayaan-3 lander soft-land on the moon?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

When will the first human mission to Venus take place?

Will Russia use chemical weapons in Ukraine in 2022?

Will the next Russian leader disapprove of the Russian invasion of Ukraine?

How many nuclear weapons will there be in world stockpiles in the following years?

How many spacecraft will land on the moon from 2022 through 2025?