Question Feed | Metaculus

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Occupation Forecast Pages

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122 forecasters

Will USTR announce a final Section 301 forced-labor tariff action covering at least 30 economies bef

65%chance

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115 forecasters

Will any country outside UEFA and CONMEBOL reach the semifinals of the 2026 FIFA World Cup before Ju

30%chance

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112 forecasters

Will the Bank of England raise Bank Rate before August 1, 2026?

17%chance

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111 forecasters

Will traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal before Sept 2026?

45.6%chance

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106 forecasters

Community beats Dylan Matthews in Summer 2026 Cup

60%chance

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103 forecasters

Will Zelenskyy & Putin meet in person before September 1, 2026?

10%chance

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105 forecasters

Which party’s candidate will win the 2026 Saalekreis Landrat election?

Alternative for Germany (AfD)55.6%

Christian Democratic Union (CDU)44.4%

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120 forecasters

Will FDA approve atacicept for IgA nephropathy before July 15, 2026?

82.2%chance

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101 comments

106 forecasters

What share of global fish production will be aquaculture in 2040?

community

60.4%

result

Annulled

100 comments

105 forecasters

What will June '26 to June '27 models score on ANIMA?

community

72.1

result

Annulled

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117 forecasters

Will NATO announce a collective Ukraine military-support target of at least €30 billion per year bef

40%chance

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115 forecasters

"Dai Dai" vs "Waka Waka" on Hot 100?

30%chance

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2 comments

8 forecasters

When will Claude Fable 5 next be publicly accessible?

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118 forecasters

Will the US Senate pass an Iran war powers resolution before August 1, 2026?

44.5%chance

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115 forecasters

Will a 2026 World Cup match be delayed due to heat?

15%chance

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119 forecasters

Will NASA's Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope launch before September 15, 2026?

73.5%chance

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118 forecasters

Will a US spot Cardano (ADA) exchange-traded fund begin trading on a US national securities exchange

23.1%chance

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113 forecasters

Will OpenAI publicly release or announce a model named GPT-6 before September 1, 2026?

19.5%chance

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113 forecasters

Will Metaculus publish a new GitHub release for Metaculus/metaculus before September 1, 2026?

20%chance

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110 forecasters

Will George Santos be arrested before September 1, 2026?

15.5%chance

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105 forecasters

Will Metaculus announce a new public tournament or forecasting series with a displayed prize pool of

60%chance

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109 forecasters

NQ vs ES in Q2 2026?

Latest estimate

0.37 pp

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110 forecasters

CL vs ES in Q2 2026?

Latest estimate

0.305 pp

This question is closed for forecasting.