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251
comments
1.5k
forecasters
Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?
28%
chance
11
comments
435
forecasters
Will the FDA or EMA withdraw approval of semaglutide for the treatment of obesity or diabetes in 2024?
result
No
5
comments
55
forecasters
Will the FDA or EMA withdraw approval of Semaglutide for the treatment of obesity by 2027?
1%
chance
5
comments
42
forecasters
Will a small molecule GLP-1-based drug be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA by 2029?
67%
chance
1
comment
46
forecasters
Will oral semaglutide be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA by 2027?
82%
chance
9
comments
34
forecasters
Will the World Health Organization prequalify moxidectin before 2027?
85%
chance
7%
this week
12
comments
48
forecasters
Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?
result
No
3
comments
15
forecasters
When will the FDA or EMA first approve a drug for the treatment of obesity that causes >25% weight loss?
Current estimate
07 Dec 2028
8
comments
15
forecasters
Will semaglutide be a top 300 medicine in America before 2032?
result
Yes
0
comments
27
forecasters
Will the combination of semaglutide and cagrilintide be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA by 2027?
45%
chance
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