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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
373 comments
1.8k forecasters

Will humans go extinct before 2100?

1%chance
14 comments
27 forecasters

How good will the best available retinal prosthesis be in 2030?

Current estimate
1.12 logMAR
5 comments
56 forecasters

Will the FDA or EMA withdraw approval of Semaglutide for the treatment of obesity by 2027?

1%chance
8 comments
74 forecasters

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

Current estimate
35.5k deaths
251 comments
1.6k forecasters

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

29%chance
5 comments
45 forecasters

Will a small molecule GLP-1-based drug be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA by 2029?

74%chance
1 comment
47 forecasters

Will oral semaglutide be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA by 2027?

83%chance
54 comments
283 forecasters

Will there be a culturally significant development in aging research by 2030?

52%chance
3 comments
15 forecasters

When will the FDA or EMA first approve a drug for the treatment of obesity that causes >25% weight loss?

Current estimate
07 Dec 2028
0 comments
27 forecasters

Will the combination of semaglutide and cagrilintide be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA by 2027?

47%chance