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Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025?
715 forecasters
if yes
if no
What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025?
121
What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025?
119
9
17 comments
17
Bridgewater Forecasting Contest
Will the PEPFAR program cease to exist before January 1, 2026?
28%
33 forecasters
4
6 comments
6
USAID Outlook
What will be the lowest seed team to make it to the Elite Eight of the NCAA's 2025 March Madness women's basketball tournament?
5
45.05%
3
35.34%
4
14.61%
6 others
4
35 comments
35
Bridgewater Forecasting Contest
On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan?
USD/MXN
20.2
USD/CNY
7.26
USD/CAD
1.43
39
28 comments
28
Bridgewater Forecasting Contest
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet with Donald Trump again before April 7, 2025?
10%
38 percentage points this week
107 forecasters
8
8 comments
8
🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Will S&P 500 recover half its drop by April 7, 2025?
57%
24 percentage points this week
57 forecasters
3
no comments
0
🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Will Israel lift the blockade to humanitarian aid into Gaza before April 7, 2025?
2.8%
61 forecasters
5
no comments
0
🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Will any more Russian or UK diplomats be expelled or recalled from UK or Russia, respectively, before April 8, 2025?
7%
21 percentage points this week
38 forecasters
1
no comments
0
🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Will PEPFAR funding be resumed before April 7, 2025?
5%
42 forecasters
3
no comments
0
🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆
How many hostages will Hamas release after January 26 and before April 5, 2025?
20-29
93.09%
30-39
5.91%
≥40
0.8%
2 others
13
31 comments
31
🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆
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