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Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

23%

220 forecasters

27 comments27

Ragnarök Series

Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?

31.2%

25 forecasters

no comments0

When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?

2052

13 forecasters

2 comments2

What will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease in the following years?

Forecasting Our World in Data

Pandemic Metaculus and new moderators

7 comments7

Metaculus Meta

condition

Will the USDA's Center for Veterinary Biologics grant a license for a highly pathogenic avian influenza H5 vaccine in dairy cattle before July 1, 2025?

11 forecasters

if yes

if no

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

215

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

179

13 comments13

Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

Will synthetic biological weapons infect 100 people by 2030?

30%

158 forecasters

19 comments19

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

Biosecurity Vulnerabilities of American Food Supply

Biosecurity Tournament Hidden Period Over

Announcing the Biosecurity Forecasting Tournament

Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?

When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?

What will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease in the following years?

Pandemic Metaculus and new moderators

Will the USDA's Center for Veterinary Biologics grant a license for a highly pathogenic avian influenza H5 vaccine in dairy cattle before July 1, 2025?

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

Will synthetic biological weapons infect 100 people by 2030?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

Biosecurity Vulnerabilities of American Food Supply

Biosecurity Tournament Hidden Period Over

Announcing the Biosecurity Forecasting Tournament

Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?

When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?

What will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease in the following years?

Pandemic Metaculus and new moderators

Will the USDA's Center for Veterinary Biologics grant a license for a highly pathogenic avian influenza H5 vaccine in dairy cattle before July 1, 2025?

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

Will synthetic biological weapons infect 100 people by 2030?