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Spring 2022 Moderator Election

14
52 comments52
Metaculus Meta

Community Trader Election

11
23 comments23
Trade Signal Tournament

Will the UK House of Commons be elected by proportional representation before 2030?

2.5%chance

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?

15%chance

When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?

57%chance

Fall 2020 Metaculus Moderator Election

11
25 comments25
Metaculus Meta

Will the 2024 US presidential election also be considered fraudulent by the losing party?

resultNo

Will polling in the US presidential election miss the true results by 3 percentage points or more?

resultNo

What fraction of US Congress seats will be held by people of color following the election on November 3, 2020?

result0.24486

In the 2020 US Presidential election, when will the losing candidate concede? [closes 2021-01-20]

result07 Jan 2021 18:00