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When will the United Kingdom apply to rejoin the EU?

Oct 2038

Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?

1%chance

Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

13%chance

Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?

0.7%chance

Will the United Kingdom join the European Economic Area before 2040?

60%chance

Will a CANZUK Free Movement Treaty be Adopted Before 2029?

10%chance

Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?

resultYes

Will Brexit (finally) happen in 2020?

resultYes

Will Brexit happen by end of day, October 31st, 2019?

resultNo

Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?

resultNo