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Will Faith Kipyegon break the 4-minute mile on June 26, 2025?

resultNo

[Short fuse] Will an image of Donald Trump appear on the front page of the New York Times on July 4, 2025?

Key Factor

Increased odds of Trump's media prominence.

resultNo

Key Factor

Increased odds of Trump's media prominence.

What will be the lowest number of oil tankers passing through the Strait of Hormuz between June 15, 2025 and September 1, 2025?

Annulledtankers

Will the United States or Israel attack the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant before January 1, 2026?

resultYes

Will The United States Give Israel Bunker Busting Bombs By The End of June 2025?

resultNo

Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran before August 2025?

resultYes

Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025?

Key Factor

Potential retaliation if Khamenei is harmed

resultYes

Key Factor

Potential retaliation if Khamenei is harmed

Will Iran carry out an attack killing at least 3 people within Israel before August 2025?

Key Factor

High Iranian motivation to retaliate

resultYes

Key Factor

High Iranian motivation to retaliate

Will Israel carry out attacks within Iran resulting in at least 50 deaths before August 2025?

resultYes

Will Harvard University have a Student and Exchange Visitor Program certification on July 1, 2025?

Key Factor

Fast TRO suggests judge favors Harvard

Annulled

Key Factor

Fast TRO suggests judge favors Harvard