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21 comments
79 forecasters

When will one TeraFLOP/s cost <$1?

Current estimate
09 May 2030

Contributed by the Odborný Predikční Tým community.

12 comments
10 forecasters

What is the probability that a state of emergency, a state of danger, and a state of threat to the state will be declared in the Czech Republic by the end of 2025?

State of emergency7%
Danger status20%
State of emergency0.5%
6 comments
18 forecasters

Will the study in Ghana find that RTS,S combined with malaria chemoprevention reduces clinical malaria more than RTS,S alone in the following age groups?

18 months old80%
24 months old69%
1 comment
12 forecasters

In 2040, what will be the smallest value of the busy beaver function known to be undecidable in Peano arithmetic?

Current estimate
70.5
2 comments
13 forecasters

In 2040, what will be the smallest value of the busy beaver function known to be undecidable in ZFC set theory?

Current estimate
78.8
1 comment
12 forecasters

What will be the best proven lower bound on the infimum of S in 2120?

Current estimate
0.504
20 comments
130 forecasters

What will Alphabet Inc.'s market capitalisation be at market close on 2026-12-14 in 2020 USD?

Latest estimate
3.02

This question is closed for forecasting.

Malaria and the Historic RTS,S Vaccine

7
0 comments
Metaculus Journal Archives

Forecasting Asset Prices

11
0 comments
Metaculus Journal Archives