Will the CPSC publish any computer-related recalls in July or August 2026?35% chance0 comments137137 forecasters35%chance
What will the Japan Economy Watchers Current Index be in the August release?0 comments130130 forecasters
Will Ukraine's inflation rate decrease to below 8.0% for July 2026?35% chance0 comments135135 forecasters35%chance
What will be Donald Trump's approval rating on July 14, 2026?38.7% (36.6 - 40.5)0 comments124124 forecasters38.7% (36.6 - 40.5)
Will the S&P 500 close at or above 8,000 on December 31, 2026?60% chance111 comment1515 forecasters60%chance
How many foreign visitors will fly to the United States in June 2026?4.71M passengers (4.32M - 5.23M)0 comments119119 forecasters4.71M passengers (4.32M - 5.23M)
What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26)3.23 pp (2.8 - 4.18)104104 comments110110 forecastersResolved2.83 pp
What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26)4.51 pp (4.33 - 4.7)103103 comments107107 forecastersResolved4.4 pp
Will July 2026 be the warmest July on record, according to Copernicus?35% chance0 comments121121 forecasters35%chance
What will be the compound annual growth rate percentage of Chinese GDP (PPP) from 2022 to 2032?2.17% (<-4 - 4.78)733 comments1313 forecasters2.17% (<-4 - 4.78)
How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26)0.284 pp (-6.38 - 7.23)104104 comments110110 forecastersResolved-17.99 pp
What will the most recent EIA daily Brent crude spot price be when checked in late June 2026?84 value (76.4 - 94.2)11 comment8383 forecastersResolved76.49 value
Will a daily global surface air temperature anomaly of at least +1.5°C above pre-industrial be recorded between June 1 and June 26, 2026 (per Copernicus Climate Pulse)?result: yes11 comment8888 forecastersResolvedYes
What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26)24.6 pp (20.4 - 31.5)104104 comments109109 forecastersResolved20.72 pp
What will the 10-year U.S. Treasury constant maturity yield be on June 25, 2026?4.46 value (4.34 - 4.6)11 comment8888 forecastersResolved4.4 value
What will the Tokyo core CPI (excluding fresh food) year-on-year inflation rate be for June 2026?1.3 value (1.1 - 1.6)11 comment8484 forecastersResolved1.6 value
What will be the rise in average hourly earnings for all employees on U.S. private nonfarm payrolls from June 2026 to July 2026?0.12 $ (0.08 - 0.16)0 comments107107 forecasters0.12 $ (0.08 - 0.16)
Will the Bank of England raise Bank Rate before August 1, 2026?17% chance0 comments112112 forecasters17%chance
What will the KOSPI Composite Index closing level be on July 10, 2026?8402 value (7773 - 9019)0 comments106106 forecasters8402 value (7773 - 9019)