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Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

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Will FEWS NET classify any area of Sudan as experiencing Famine before 2027?

40% chance

77 comments
74
74 forecasters
40%chance

What will the weekly Niรฑo 3.4 SST anomaly be for the week centered September 2, 2026?

2.8 ยฐC (2.6 - 3.1)

148148 comments
148
148 forecasters
Resolved2.7 ยฐC

Will an AI independently gain unauthorized access to a computer system at the following levels from September to December 2026?

1010 comments
19
19 forecasters

Will Ethereum's closing price exceed $2,500 on September 4, 2026?

result: no

153153 comments
151
151 forecasters
ResolvedNo

What will the daily global-mean surface air temperature be on September 3, 2026 (ERA5)?

16.9 ยฐC (16.7 - 17.1)

155155 comments
149
149 forecasters
Resolved16.68 ยฐC

Will the Senate Commerce Committee have a September 2026 markup scheduled as of September 3, 2026?

result: no

150150 comments
149
149 forecasters
ResolvedNo

What will the U.S. unemployment rate be for August 2026, as reported in the September 4, 2026 Employment Situation release?

4.1% (4 - 4.3)

148148 comments
147
147 forecasters
Resolved4.1%

What will Lee Jae-myung's job approval be in the first Gallup Korea Daily Opinion poll released in September 2026?

44% (41 - 47)

148148 comments
149
149 forecasters
Resolved40%

What will Bitcoin's closing price be on September 3, 2026, according to CoinGecko?

77.5k $ (70.2k - 84.8k)

147147 comments
149
149 forecasters
Resolved81.26k $

What will the reported change in U.S. total nonfarm payroll employment be for August 2026?

24.2 thousand jobs (-28.9 - 79.6)

146146 comments
149
149 forecasters
Resolved162 thousand jobs

What will the August 2026 seasonally adjusted change in U.S. government employment be, per the BLS report?

-14 thousand jobs (-50.9 - 14.2)

146146 comments
147
147 forecasters
Resolved35 thousand jobs

What will be the cumulative net flow into US spot Bitcoin ETFs over September 1โ€“4, 2026?

453 million $ (-33.4 - 1001)

145145 comments
148
148 forecasters
Resolved770 million $

What will be Micron Technology's (MU) closing stock price on September 3, 2026?

936 $ (852 - 1028)

144144 comments
143
143 forecasters
Resolved958.2 $

What will Apple's (AAPL) stock closing price be on September 4, 2026?

311 $ (300 - 322)

144144 comments
146
146 forecasters
Resolved319.97 $

Will the DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) spot session average be higher on September 4, 2026 than on August 21, 2026?

result: no

158158 comments
160
160 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at or above $140 on September 3, 2026?

result: yes

156156 comments
157
157 forecasters
ResolvedYes

What will TrendForce's spot session-average price for DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 be on September 3, 2026?

55.6 $/die (51.7 - 60.6)

153153 comments
153
153 forecasters
Resolved54 $/die

What will the S&P 500 index close at on September 4, 2026?

7675 (7525 - 7850)

152152 comments
151
151 forecasters
Resolved7719

What will the price of Solana (SOL) be at the end of September 2, 2026 (UTC)?

92.7 $ (81.6 - 106)

152152 comments
152
152 forecasters
Resolved100.4 $

What will Bitcoin's price be on September 4, 2026?

76.7k $ (68.8k - 84.6k)

148148 comments
151
151 forecasters
Resolved79.67k $

What will the CoinMarketCap Altcoin Season Index read on September 3, 2026?

40 (31 - 50)

151151 comments
152
152 forecasters
Resolved38

What will TrendForce's spot session-average price of DDR4 8Gb (1Gx8) 3200 be on September 3, 2026?

44 $ (43.5 - 45)

150150 comments
153
153 forecasters
Resolved44.57 $