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Will any North American country have a CDC travel advisory issued in July or August 2026?

37.6% chance

137

137 forecasters

37.6%chance

How many foreign visitors will fly to the United States in July 2026?

5.14M passengers (4.65M - 5.65M)

116

116 forecasters

5.14M passengers

(4.65M - 5.65M)

What will the Japan Economy Watchers Current Index be in the August release?

130

130 forecasters

What will be Donald Trump's approval rating on July 14, 2026?

38.7% (36.6 - 40.5)

124

124 forecasters

38.7%

(36.6 - 40.5)

What will Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot on July 14, 2026?

6% (4.7 - 7.2)

128

128 forecasters

6%

(4.7 - 7.2)

Will the S&P 500 close at or above 8,000 on December 31, 2026?

60% chance

1

15

15 forecasters

60%chance

What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26)

3.23 pp (2.8 - 4.18)

104 104 comments

110

110 forecasters

Resolved2.83 pp

What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26)

4.51 pp (4.33 - 4.7)

103 103 comments

107

107 forecasters

Resolved4.4 pp

What will be the price of Bitcoin (BTC) on July 10, 2026?

58.5k value (53k - 65.1k)

111

111 forecasters

58.5k value

(53k - 65.1k)

Will the U.S. Senate take a floor vote on the CLARITY Act (Digital Asset Market Clarity Act) before June 29, 2026?

result: no

98

98 forecasters

ResolvedNo

Will July 2026 be the warmest July on record, according to Copernicus?

35% chance

121

121 forecasters

35%chance

How many jobs will the U.S. economy add in July 2026?

2

2 forecasters

Will the U.S. release or grant Iran access to any frozen Iranian assets before June 28, 2026?

result: no

92

92 forecasters

ResolvedNo

Will the SEC adopt a final rule permitting optional semiannual reporting before January 1, 2027?

2

2 forecasters

%chance

Will a Tucker Carlson-founded political party file FEC Form 1 before September 2026?

3

3 forecasters

%chance

Will the FAO Food Price Index reach a new yearly high for July 2026?

5

5 forecasters

%chance

What will be the highest price of copper futures in August 2026?

24

24 forecasters

What will the 10-year U.S. Treasury constant maturity yield be on June 25, 2026?

4.46 value (4.34 - 4.6)

88

88 forecasters

Resolved4.4 value

Which team will win the 2026 MLB World Series?

42

42 forecasters

Will Vladimir Putin visit Iran before September 1, 2026?

8

8 forecasters

%chance

What will the Tokyo core CPI (excluding fresh food) year-on-year inflation rate be for June 2026?

1.3 value (1.1 - 1.6)

84

84 forecasters

Resolved1.6 value

Will USTR announce a final Section 301 forced-labor tariff action covering at least 30 economies before July 25, 2026?

65% chance

122

122 forecasters

65%chance