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How many barrels of oil will be in the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve at the end of the second week of August 2026?

308k thousand barrels (<300k - 339k)

123

123 forecasters

308k thousand barrels

(<300k - 339k)

How many mass shootings will the U.S. experience in July 2026?

130

130 forecasters

What will be the lowest stock price of SpaceX in July 2026?

136 $ (111 - 157)

126

126 forecasters

136 $

(111 - 157)

What will be the highest stock price of SpaceX in July 2026?

200 (168 - 251)

121

121 forecasters

200

(168 - 251)

What will the total enacted U.S. foreign aid appropriations be for FY2028, conditional on control of Congress?

17

17 forecasters

How many foreign visitors will fly to the United States in July 2026?

5.14M passengers (4.65M - 5.65M)

116

116 forecasters

5.14M passengers

(4.65M - 5.65M)

Will Elon Musk be a trillionaire on August 31, 2026?

60% chance

13

13 forecasters

60%chance

What will the Japan Economy Watchers Current Index be in the August release?

130

130 forecasters

What will be the Strait of Hormuz 7-day average daily transit calls on June 25, 2026 per IMF PortWatch?

19 value (9.86 - 34.1)

101 101 comments

98

98 forecasters

Resolved26 value

How many active US drilling rigs will there be for the week ending July 31, 2026?

566 (557 - 576)

124

124 forecasters

566

(557 - 576)

Who will be the largest Republican donor in the 2026 cycle, as of August 1, 2026?

1

3

3 forecasters

How many foreign visitors will fly to the United States in June 2026?

4.71M passengers (4.32M - 5.23M)

119

119 forecasters

4.71M passengers

(4.32M - 5.23M)

Will Ukraine's inflation rate decrease to below 8.0% for July 2026?

35% chance

135

135 forecasters

35%chance

What will be Donald Trump's approval rating on July 14, 2026?

38.7% (36.6 - 40.5)

124

124 forecasters

38.7%

(36.6 - 40.5)

What will Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot on July 14, 2026?

6% (4.7 - 7.2)

128

128 forecasters

6%

(4.7 - 7.2)

What percentage of votes will Hakainde Hichilema receive in the first round of Zambia's 2026 presidential elections?

57.2% (53.4 - 60.8)

-1

59

59 forecasters

57.2%

(53.4 - 60.8)

Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test before September 1, 2026?

5% chance

1

11

11 forecasters

5%chance

Will the S&P 500 close at or above 8,000 on December 31, 2026?

60% chance

1

15

15 forecasters

60%chance

How many subscribers will the New York Times Company report in its Q2 2026 earnings release?

13.3M subscribers (13.2M - 13.4M)

120

120 forecasters

13.3M subscribers

(13.2M - 13.4M)

Will the market capitalization for USDT & USDC stablecoins surpass $300 billion USD by June 30, 2026?

result: no

26

26 forecasters

ResolvedNo

What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26)

3.23 pp (2.8 - 4.18)

104 104 comments

110

110 forecasters

Resolved2.83 pp

What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26)

4.51 pp (4.33 - 4.7)

103 103 comments

107

107 forecasters

Resolved4.4 pp