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Will France's V-Dem Liberal Democracy Index fall below 0.80 for 2026 or 2027?

50% chance

3

3 forecasters

50%chance

How many foreign visitors will fly to the United States in July 2026?

5.14M passengers (4.65M - 5.65M)

116

116 forecasters

5.14M passengers

(4.65M - 5.65M)

What will the Japan Economy Watchers Current Index be in the August release?

130

130 forecasters

How many foreign visitors will fly to the United States in June 2026?

4.71M passengers (4.32M - 5.23M)

119

119 forecasters

4.71M passengers

(4.32M - 5.23M)

Will Ukraine's inflation rate decrease to below 8.0% for July 2026?

35% chance

135

135 forecasters

35%chance

What will be Donald Trump's approval rating on July 14, 2026?

38.7% (36.6 - 40.5)

124

124 forecasters

38.7%

(36.6 - 40.5)

What will Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot on July 14, 2026?

6% (4.7 - 7.2)

128

128 forecasters

6%

(4.7 - 7.2)

Will Virgin Galactic have a "Going Concern" substantial doubt statement in its 10-Q SEC filing for Q2 2026?

80% chance

6

6 forecasters

80%chance

How many subscribers will the New York Times Company report in its Q2 2026 earnings release?

13.3M subscribers (13.2M - 13.4M)

120

120 forecasters

13.3M subscribers

(13.2M - 13.4M)

How much in digital advertising revenues will the New York Times Company report in its Q2 2026 earnings release?

114M $ (110M - 118M)

118

118 forecasters

114M $

(110M - 118M)

What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26)

3.23 pp (2.8 - 4.18)

104 104 comments

110

110 forecasters

Resolved2.83 pp

What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26)

4.51 pp (4.33 - 4.7)

103 103 comments

107

107 forecasters

Resolved4.4 pp

Will Ukraine's government debt be at least 2.10 trillion UAH in June 2026?

93.7% chance

117

117 forecasters

93.7%chance

How many visitor arrivals will the government of Fiji report for June 2026?

92.3k visitors (86.5k - 97.6k)

115

115 forecasters

92.3k visitors

(86.5k - 97.6k)

How many jobs will the U.S. economy add in July 2026?

2

2 forecasters

How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26)

0.371 pp (-1.04 - 1.68)

105 105 comments

109

109 forecasters

Resolved-0.543 pp

What will be the compound annual growth rate percentage of Chinese GDP (PPP) from 2022 to 2032?

2.17% (<-4 - 4.78)

7

13

13 forecasters

2.17%

(<-4 - 4.78)

How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26)

-0.118 pp (-3.15 - 2.8)

104 104 comments

108

108 forecasters

Resolved-2.369 pp

Will QatarEnergy restore full LNG production capacity before 2027?

13% chance

1

7

7 forecasters

13%chance

What will the 10-year U.S. Treasury constant maturity yield be on June 25, 2026?

4.46 value (4.34 - 4.6)

88

88 forecasters

Resolved4.4 value

What will the Tokyo core CPI (excluding fresh food) year-on-year inflation rate be for June 2026?

1.3 value (1.1 - 1.6)

84

84 forecasters

Resolved1.6 value

Which month will have the highest officially reported TSMC consolidated net revenue among May, June, and July 2026?

114

114 forecasters