• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
๐Ÿ’ฌ
Top Comments
๐Ÿ’ก
Comments Feed
๐Ÿ“ˆ
Indexes
๐Ÿ†
Leaderboards
โš™๏ธ
Labor Hub
๐Ÿฆพ
FutureEval
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
US Midterms
โš”๏ธ
Metaculus Cup
๐Ÿ’ฅ
Iran War
โ“
Top Questions
๐Ÿ—ž๏ธ
Current Events
๐Ÿ’ผ
Economy & Business
๐Ÿ›๏ธ
Politics
๐ŸŒ
Geopolitics
โš™๏ธ
Technology
๐Ÿค–
Artificial Intelligence
๐Ÿฆ 
Health & Pandemics
๐Ÿ’ป
Computing and Math
๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ
Elections
๐ŸŒฑ
Environment & Climate
๐Ÿ”ฌ
Natural Sciences
๐Ÿ€
Sports & Entertainment
โš–๏ธ
Law
๐Ÿš€
Space
๐Ÿง‘โ€๐Ÿคโ€๐Ÿง‘
Social Sciences
๐Ÿ”ฎ
Metaculus
โ˜ข๏ธ
Nuclear Technology & Risks
๐Ÿ’ฐ
Cryptoยญcurrencies

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestionsTournamentsTournaments for AI botsFutureEval
ServicesLaunch a TournamentPrivate InstancesPro Forecasters
CompanyAboutCareersFAQ
ResourcesForecasting ResourcesFor JournalistsAPI
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use

How many barrels of oil will be in the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve at the end of the second week of August 2026?

308k thousand barrels (<300k - 339k)

0 comments
123
123 forecasters
308k thousand barrels
(<300k - 339k)

How many mass shootings will the U.S. experience in July 2026?

0 comments
130
130 forecasters

How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for June 2026?

11.4k encounters (9204 - 14k)

0 comments
117
117 forecasters
11.4k encounters
(9204 - 14k)

How many foreign visitors will fly to the United States in July 2026?

5.14M passengers (4.65M - 5.65M)

0 comments
116
116 forecasters
5.14M passengers
(4.65M - 5.65M)

How many active US drilling rigs will there be for the week ending July 31, 2026?

566 (557 - 576)

0 comments
124
124 forecasters
566
(557 - 576)

What will the Japan Economy Watchers Current Index be in the August release?

0 comments
130
130 forecasters

How many software development jobs will be posted on Upwork on July 1, 2026?

24.3k jobs (22.4k - 26.4k)

100100 comments
105
105 forecasters
Resolved23.973k jobs

What will be Donald Trump's approval rating on July 14, 2026?

38.7% (36.6 - 40.5)

0 comments
124
124 forecasters
38.7%
(36.6 - 40.5)

What will Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot on July 14, 2026?

6% (4.7 - 7.2)

0 comments
128
128 forecasters
6%
(4.7 - 7.2)

Will the S&P 500 close at or above 8,000 on December 31, 2026?

60% chance

1
11 comment
15
15 forecasters
60%chance

Will another company get dropped from the Dow Jones Industrial Average in July or August 2026?

10% chance

0 comments
5
5 forecasters
10%chance

How many foreign visitors will fly to the United States in June 2026?

4.71M passengers (4.32M - 5.23M)

0 comments
119
119 forecasters
4.71M passengers
(4.32M - 5.23M)

How many subscribers will the New York Times Company report in its Q2 2026 earnings release?

13.3M subscribers (13.2M - 13.4M)

0 comments
120
120 forecasters
13.3M subscribers
(13.2M - 13.4M)

How many software development jobs will be posted on Upwork on July 1, 2026?

24.7k jobs (23.5k - 25.5k)

1
66 comments
8
8 forecasters
Resolved23.973k jobs

What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26)

3.23 pp (2.8 - 4.18)

104104 comments
110
110 forecasters
Resolved2.83 pp

What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26)

4.51 pp (4.33 - 4.7)

103103 comments
107
107 forecasters
Resolved4.4 pp

How many visitor arrivals will the government of Fiji report for June 2026?

92.3k visitors (86.5k - 97.6k)

0 comments
115
115 forecasters
92.3k visitors
(86.5k - 97.6k)

What will be the income ratio between men and women employed full-time by 2025 in the US?

0.852 (0.839 - 0.864)

6
44 comments
20
20 forecasters
Resolved0.809

How many jobs will the U.S. economy add in July 2026?

0 comments
2
2 forecasters

How many Major Atlantic Hurricanes (Category 3 or higher) will occur before September 2026?

0 comments
120
120 forecasters

What will be the compound annual growth rate percentage of Chinese GDP (PPP) from 2022 to 2032?

2.17% (<-4 - 4.78)

7
33 comments
13
13 forecasters
2.17%
(<-4 - 4.78)

How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26)

0.371 pp (-1.04 - 1.68)

105105 comments
109
109 forecasters
Resolved-0.543 pp