Will the CPSC publish any computer-related recalls in July or August 2026?35% chance0 comments137137 forecasters35%chance
How many barrels of oil will be in the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve at the end of the second week of August 2026?308k thousand barrels (<300k - 339k)0 comments123123 forecasters308k thousand barrels (<300k - 339k)
Will France's V-Dem Liberal Democracy Index fall below 0.80 for 2026 or 2027?50% chance33 comments33 forecasters50%chance
Will Poland's V-Dem Liberal Democracy Index fall below 0.65 for 2027?50% chance11 comment33 forecasters50%chance
What will be the highest stock price of SpaceX in July 2026?200 (168 - 251)0 comments121121 forecasters200 (168 - 251)
How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for June 2026?11.4k encounters (9204 - 14k)0 comments117117 forecasters11.4k encounters (9204 - 14k)
How many foreign visitors will fly to the United States in July 2026?5.14M passengers (4.65M - 5.65M)0 comments116116 forecasters5.14M passengers (4.65M - 5.65M)
What will the Japan Economy Watchers Current Index be in the August release?0 comments130130 forecasters
Will AI Daily's "AI Support" among American adults turn negative before 2027?60% chance122 comments44 forecasters60%chance
How many foreign visitors will fly to the United States in June 2026?4.71M passengers (4.32M - 5.23M)0 comments119119 forecasters4.71M passengers (4.32M - 5.23M)
Will Ukraine's inflation rate decrease to below 8.0% for July 2026?35% chance0 comments135135 forecasters35%chance
What will be Donald Trump's approval rating on July 14, 2026?38.7% (36.6 - 40.5)0 comments124124 forecasters38.7% (36.6 - 40.5)
What will Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot on July 14, 2026?6% (4.7 - 7.2)0 comments128128 forecasters6% (4.7 - 7.2)
Will Virgin Galactic have a "Going Concern" substantial doubt statement in its 10-Q SEC filing for Q2 2026?80% chance0 comments66 forecasters80%chance
Will the S&P 500 close at or above 8,000 on December 31, 2026?60% chance111 comment1515 forecasters60%chance
Will another company get dropped from the Dow Jones Industrial Average in July or August 2026?10% chance0 comments55 forecasters10%chance
What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26)3.23 pp (2.8 - 4.18)104104 comments110110 forecastersResolved2.83 pp
What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26)4.51 pp (4.33 - 4.7)103103 comments107107 forecastersResolved4.4 pp
What will be the voter turnout percentage in the July 11, 2026 Johor state election?62.5 value (58.3 - 67.1)0 comments113113 forecasters62.5 value (58.3 - 67.1)
Will July 2026 be the warmest July on record, according to Copernicus?35% chance0 comments121121 forecasters35%chance