Will the CPSC publish any computer-related recalls in July or August 2026?35% chance0 comments137137 forecasters35%chance
How many foreign visitors will fly to the United States in July 2026?5.14M passengers (4.65M - 5.65M)0 comments116116 forecasters5.14M passengers (4.65M - 5.65M)
What will the Japan Economy Watchers Current Index be in the August release?0 comments130130 forecasters
Will Ukraine's inflation rate decrease to below 8.0% for July 2026?35% chance0 comments135135 forecasters35%chance
What will be Donald Trump's approval rating on July 14, 2026?38.7% (36.6 - 40.5)0 comments124124 forecasters38.7% (36.6 - 40.5)
What percentage of votes will Hakainde Hichilema receive in the first round of Zambia's 2026 presidential elections?57.5% (53.7 - 61.2)-10 comments6060 forecasters57.5% (53.7 - 61.2)
Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test before September 1, 2026?5% chance10 comments1212 forecasters5%chance
Will the S&P 500 close at or above 8,000 on December 31, 2026?60% chance111 comment1515 forecasters60%chance
What will be the highest daily number of PLA aircraft tracked by Taiwan's Ministry of National Defense in Taiwan's air-defense identification zone (ADIZ) in July-August 2026?36 aircraft (29 - 43)-10 comments22 forecasters36 aircraft (29 - 43)
How many foreign visitors will fly to the United States in June 2026?4.71M passengers (4.32M - 5.23M)0 comments119119 forecasters4.71M passengers (4.32M - 5.23M)
What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26)3.23 pp (2.8 - 4.18)104104 comments110110 forecastersResolved2.83 pp
What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26)4.51 pp (4.33 - 4.7)103103 comments107107 forecastersResolved4.4 pp
Will any single 24-hour period between June 25 and June 28, 2026 see total crypto liquidations exceeding $1 billion, per CoinGlass?result: yes11 comment9494 forecastersResolvedYes
Will July 2026 be the warmest July on record, according to Copernicus?35% chance0 comments121121 forecasters35%chance
What will be the compound annual growth rate percentage of Chinese GDP (PPP) from 2022 to 2032?2.17% (<-4 - 4.78)733 comments1313 forecasters2.17% (<-4 - 4.78)
How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26)-0.118 pp (-3.15 - 2.8)104104 comments108108 forecastersResolved-2.369 pp
How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26)0.284 pp (-6.38 - 7.23)104104 comments110110 forecastersResolved-17.99 pp
What will the most recent EIA daily Brent crude spot price be when checked in late June 2026?84 value (76.4 - 94.2)11 comment8383 forecastersResolved76.49 value
Will a daily global surface air temperature anomaly of at least +1.5°C above pre-industrial be recorded between June 1 and June 26, 2026 (per Copernicus Climate Pulse)?result: yes11 comment8888 forecastersResolvedYes