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21
comments
305
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
30%
chance
44
comments
434
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?
28%
chance
15
comments
282
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?
29%
chance
52
comments
283
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?
10%
chance
7
comments
194
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?
1%
chance
17
comments
196
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if a nuclear catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
5%
chance
23
comments
413
forecasters
By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?
35%
chance
2
comments
161
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
8%
chance
11
comments
36
forecasters
When will a movie first gross X billion dollars?
Q&A — Get help here from the Metaculus team
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A Conversation in Black and White With the Equity Project Alliance
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