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Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

20%chance
5% this week

Metaculus meta questions

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Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

24%chance

Q&A — Get help here from the Metaculus team

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A Conversation in Black and White With the Equity Project Alliance

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

25%chance

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

23%chance

By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?

35%chance

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

48%chance

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?

1%chance

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?

2%chance