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21 comments
304 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

30%chance
44 comments
434 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

28%chance
15 comments
282 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

29%chance
7 comments
194 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?

1%chance
52 comments
283 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

10%chance
23 comments
413 forecasters

By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?

35%chance
2 comments
161 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

8%chance
17 comments
196 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nuclear catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

5%chance
27 comments
225 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

22.8%chance
5 comments
83 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

48%chance