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44
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422
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?
25%
chance
5%
this week
16
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44
forecasters
Will extinction occur within 20 years of the human population falling below 400 million, if the population falls that much by 2100?
21%
chance
8%
this week
20
comments
287
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
25%
chance
Q&A — Get help here from the Metaculus team
-1
0
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A Conversation in Black and White With the Equity Project Alliance
52
comments
279
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?
10%
chance
7
comments
192
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?
1%
chance
Metaculus meta questions
7
54
54
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Metaculus Meta
15
comments
281
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?
29.2%
chance
21
comments
404
forecasters
By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?
33%
chance
5
comments
82
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
49%
chance
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