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Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

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Will the CPSC publish any computer-related recalls in July or August 2026?

35% chance

0 comments
137
137 forecasters
35%chance

How many barrels of oil will be in the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve at the end of the second week of August 2026?

308k thousand barrels (<300k - 339k)

0 comments
123
123 forecasters
308k thousand barrels
(<300k - 339k)

How many foreign visitors will fly to the United States in July 2026?

5.14M passengers (4.65M - 5.65M)

0 comments
116
116 forecasters
5.14M passengers
(4.65M - 5.65M)

What will the Japan Economy Watchers Current Index be in the August release?

0 comments
130
130 forecasters

Will Ukraine's inflation rate decrease to below 8.0% for July 2026?

35% chance

0 comments
135
135 forecasters
35%chance

Who will be the largest Republican donor in the 2026 cycle, as of August 1, 2026?

1
0 comments
4
4 forecasters

What will Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot on July 14, 2026?

6% (4.7 - 7.2)

0 comments
128
128 forecasters
6%
(4.7 - 7.2)

Will the S&P 500 close at or above 8,000 on December 31, 2026?

60% chance

1
11 comment
15
15 forecasters
60%chance

What will be the highest daily number of PLA aircraft tracked by Taiwan's Ministry of National Defense in Taiwan's air-defense identification zone (ADIZ) in July-August 2026?

36 aircraft (29 - 43)

-1
0 comments
2
2 forecasters
36 aircraft
(29 - 43)

How many foreign visitors will fly to the United States in June 2026?

4.71M passengers (4.32M - 5.23M)

0 comments
119
119 forecasters
4.71M passengers
(4.32M - 5.23M)

How many visitor arrivals will the government of Fiji report for June 2026?

92.3k visitors (86.5k - 97.6k)

0 comments
115
115 forecasters
92.3k visitors
(86.5k - 97.6k)

How many jobs will the U.S. economy add in July 2026?

0 comments
2
2 forecasters

What will be the compound annual growth rate percentage of Chinese GDP (PPP) from 2022 to 2032?

2.17% (<-4 - 4.78)

7
33 comments
13
13 forecasters
2.17%
(<-4 - 4.78)

Will the FAO Food Price Index reach a new yearly high for July 2026?

0 comments
5
5 forecasters
%chance

What will be the highest price of copper futures in August 2026?

0 comments
28
28 forecasters

Will the US and India finalise a new bilateral trade agreement before August 2026?

67% chance

0 comments
122
122 forecasters
67%chance

What will the Tokyo core CPI (excluding fresh food) year-on-year inflation rate be for June 2026?

1.3 value (1.1 - 1.6)

11 comment
84
84 forecasters
Resolved1.6 value

Which month will have the highest officially reported TSMC consolidated net revenue among May, June, and July 2026?

0 comments
114
114 forecasters

What will be the rise in average hourly earnings for all employees on U.S. private nonfarm payrolls from June 2026 to July 2026?

0.12 $ (0.08 - 0.16)

0 comments
107
107 forecasters
0.12 $
(0.08 - 0.16)

Will a new cultivated meat product receive regulatory approval for commercial sale before July 2027?

77% chance

1
1111 comments
46
46 forecasters
77%chance

What will SpaceX's stock price be at the end of August 2026?

149 $ (128 - 172)

1
1515 comments
123
123 forecasters
149 $
(128 - 172)

What will real GDP growth be in the United States in the following years?

6
1717 comments
28
28 forecasters