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Contributed by the Odborný Predikční Tým community.

12 comments
9 forecasters

What is the probability that a state of emergency, a state of danger, and a state of threat to the state will be declared in the Czech Republic by the end of 2025?

State of emergency9%
Danger status25%
State of emergency0.5%

Substance is all you need.

2
11 comment
AI Progress Essay Contest
8 comments
30 forecasters

When will a computer program be listed as an author in journal article in the Annals of Mathematics?

Current estimate
06 Nov 2029

Sums and Products

11
44 comments

Computability and Complexity

16
11 comment
Metaculus Journal Archives

Elliptic Curves, Diophantine Equations, and Cryptography

12
0 comments