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Contributed by the Odborný Predikční Tým community.

12 comments
10 forecasters

What is the probability that a state of emergency, a state of danger, and a state of threat to the state will be declared in the Czech Republic by the end of 2025?

State of emergency9%
Danger status25%
State of emergency0.5%
8 comments
31 forecasters

When will a computer program be listed as an author in journal article in the Annals of Mathematics?

Current estimate
01 Jun 2029

Substance is all you need.

2
11 comment
AI Progress Essay Contest

Sums and Products

11
44 comments

Computability and Complexity

16
11 comment
Metaculus Journal Archives

Elliptic Curves, Diophantine Equations, and Cryptography

12
0 comments