4 comments
1 forecaster
How much will using AI add to (or subtract from) the time it takes developers to do a task, in METR's second impact study?
Current estimate
Revealed tomorrow
97 comments
97 forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 16.00% on 2025-11-07 for the Metaculus question "Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2026?"?
resultNo
Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.
0 comments
32 forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?
OVH30%
Google Cloud12%
Amazon Web Services11%
2 comments
40 forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?
OVH25%
Microsoft Azure5%
Amazon Web Services5%
Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.