0 comments
5 forecasters
Will any AI model achieve a score of 94% or higher on the GPQA Diamond Benchmark Leaderboard before February 1, 2026?
Current estimate
Revealed in 3 days
4 comments
53 forecasters
How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025?
Revealed tomorrow
4 comments
3 forecasters
How much will using AI add to (or subtract from) the time it takes developers to do a task, in METR's second impact study?
Current estimate
2.28%
0 comments
34 forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?
OVH30%
Google Cloud16%
Amazon Web Services15%
39 comments
64 forecasters
What will NVIDIA's market capitalization be on the last day of the following years?
2 comments
41 forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?
OVH25%
Amazon Web Services5%
Microsoft Azure5%
