Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
We're Hiring: Product, Engineering, Communications & Consulting Roles at Metaculus
5
1
1
comment
2
comments
22
forecasters
When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)
Current estimate
02 Nov 2025
🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap
3
0
comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
3
comments
2
forecasters
When will large language models exceed superforecasters’ accuracy in ForecastBench?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 3 days
0
comments
95
forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 19.00% on 2025-10-23 for the Metaculus question "Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2026?"?
35%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
Platform feature suggestions
113
3.1k
3.1k
comments
Metaculus Meta
1
comment
13
forecasters
Will the US stock market crash by more than 10% in any 5-day trading period before January 1, 2027?
50%
chance
29%
this week
2
comments
16
forecasters
Will the US stock market go down by more than 5% in any week in the 4th quarter of 2025?
45%
chance
28%
this week
Contributed by the
AI 2025 Forecasting Survey
community.
0
comments
9
forecasters
What percentage of Americans will identify computers/technology advancement as the US's most important problem by December 31st 2025?
Current estimate
0.543%
7
comments
47
forecasters
Which book will top the New York Times Hardcover Fiction list for the week of November 2, 2025?
Other
51.7%
Remain: A Supernatural Love Story
13.8%
The Secret of Secrets
11.8%
6 others
23%
Load More