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📈Market Pulse Q2 Winners: Evidence of Edge

4
1 comment1
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q2

Who will win the bet between Gary Marcus and Nathan Young on the progress of Waymo vs Tesla robotaxis?

Gary Marcus win71.8%
Nathan Young win23.8%
Other4.3%

Market Pulse 25Q3 Opens: Will Q2’s Edge Hold?

4
no comments0
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3

Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.

How many evaluation packages will The Unjournal post in the year 2025?

Key Factor

Additional grant funding

Key Factor

Additional grant funding

condition

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2035)

if yes
if no

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

1 comment1

Q1 AI Benchmark Results: Pro Forecasters Crush Bots

14
3 comments3
Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Will OpenAI, DeepMind, or Anthropic have revenue of at least $100B in 2027?

82.5%chance

On the DesignSafe-CI portal, how many publications will there be in June 2025?

0-20result: Yes
21-30result: No
31-40result: No
and 1 other

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

75%chance

Platform feature suggestions

112
2961 comments2961
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