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condition

Will USDA license HPAI H5 vax in dairy cows by July 1, 2025?

Resolved:No
17 forecasters
if yes
if no

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

124
Resolved:Annulled

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

144
1313 comments
17
17 forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

Contributed by the Meercast's Community Page community.

0 comments
2 forecasters

When Will The USDA Lift Their Ban on Mexican Livestock And Keep One Or More Ports Open For At Least One Month?

Current estimate
17 Feb 2026
condition

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

24 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

13%
13%

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

0%
0%
77 comments
24
24 forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
0 comments
28 forecasters

Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?

27%chance

Contributed by the Meercast's Community Page community.

0 comments
4 forecasters

Will The USDA Release A Gene Drive To Deal With An Agricultural Pest Before Jan 1, 2029?

9%chance
3 comments
94 forecasters

Will China adopt any legislation or regulations to prevent contamination of the environment with antimicrobials by 2024?

Ambiguous
2 comments
9 forecasters

Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the contiguous US, before 2027?

44%chance
20 comments
160 forecasters

Will synthetic biological weapons infect 100 people by 2030?

25%chance
2 comments
159 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

7%chance
7 comments
132 forecasters

Pandemic series: a significant bioterror attack by 2025?

resultNo