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condition
Will USDA license HPAI H5 vax in dairy cows by July 1, 2025?
Resolved:
No
17
forecasters
if yes
if no
How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?
124
Resolved:
Annulled
How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?
144
13
13
comments
17
17
forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
Contributed by the
Meercast's Community Page
community.
0
comments
2
forecasters
When Will The USDA Lift Their Ban on Mexican Livestock And Keep One Or More Ports Open For At Least One Month?
Current estimate
17 Feb 2026
condition
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
24
forecasters
if yes
if no
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
13%
13%
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
0%
0%
7
7
comments
24
24
forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
0
comments
28
forecasters
Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?
27%
chance
Contributed by the
Meercast's Community Page
community.
0
comments
4
forecasters
Will The USDA Release A Gene Drive To Deal With An Agricultural Pest Before Jan 1, 2029?
9%
chance
3
comments
94
forecasters
Will China adopt any legislation or regulations to prevent contamination of the environment with antimicrobials by 2024?
Ambiguous
2
comments
9
forecasters
Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the contiguous US, before 2027?
44%
chance
20
comments
160
forecasters
Will synthetic biological weapons infect 100 people by 2030?
25%
chance
2
comments
159
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
7%
chance
7
comments
132
forecasters
Pandemic series: a significant bioterror attack by 2025?
result
No
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