conditional

Make a Prediction

Will USDA license HPAI H5 vax in dairy cows by July 1, 2025?

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

PDF

CDF

The question "Will the USDA's Center for Veterinary Biologics grant a license for a highly pathogenic avian influenza H5 vaccine in dairy cattle before July 1, 2025?" has closed, so these conditionals are closed for forecasting. They will resolve when the question "How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?" resolves.
QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%84.41
median117.9
upper 75%214.5
Upper bound
>50006.7%

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
Opened:Nov 14, 2024
Closed:Jun 30, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 10, 2026