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Will the WHO declare an avian influenza virus in humans a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2030?

40%chance

19% this week

79 comments

218 forecasters

How many human infections of monkeypox will be estimated to have occurred before 2023, worldwide?

community

104k

result

Ambiguous

23 comments

90 forecasters

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

Current estimate

77.8 cases

4 comments

15 forecasters

How many deaths from Tuberculosis will occur globally in the following years?

36 comments

224 forecasters

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

2%chance

condition

Will USDA license HPAI H5 vax in dairy cows by July 1, 2025?

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

124

Resolved:Annulled

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

144

13 13 comments

17 forecasters

Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

2 comments

27 forecasters

How many deaths in the US will be due to antibiotic-resistant infections in 2035?

Current estimate

76.8k deaths

15 comments

195 forecasters

Will the number of deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections per year double by December 31, 2025?

5%chance

condition

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

24 forecasters

if yes

if no

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

13%

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

7 7 comments

24 forecasters

Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

27 comments

225 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

22.8%chance