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How many U.S. cases of cyclosporiasis will occur in the 2026 season before September 1, 2026, according to the CDC?

13k Cases (11.2k - >14k)

1

11

11 forecasters

13k Cases

(11.2k - >14k)

What will be the total number of US cyclosporiasis hospitalizations before September 2026?

869 Hospitalizations (751 - 1010)

1

62

62 forecasters

869 Hospitalizations

(751 - 1010)

Will the total number of hospitalizations from cyclosporiasis in Michigan remain under 300 through the end of August 2026?

51% chance

2

8

8 forecasters

51%chance

Respiratory Outlook July Update: Screwworm continues US spread as Ebola outbreak surges in DRC

4

Will ECDC/EFSA surveillance report at least one West Nile virus death in Europe for the 2026 season before 7 August 2026?

50% chance

136

136 forecasters

50%chance

How many Clade I Mpox cases will have been reported in the US before 2027?

45 cases (37 - 56)

16

16 forecasters

45 cases

(37 - 56)

Before 2100, will AI cause the human population to fall below 5000 individuals?

1% chance

2

82

82 forecasters

1%chance

How many New World Screwworm animal cases will be confirmed in the US in 2026?

103 animal cases (67.7 - 164)

2

15

15 forecasters

103 animal cases

(67.7 - 164)

How many New World screwworm cases will be confirmed in Mexico in total before July 2027?

58.4k cases (46.6k - 73.2k)

41

41 forecasters

58.4k cases

(46.6k - 73.2k)

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

30% chance

24

332

332 forecasters

30%chance

Will a novel human-infectious pandemic originate in these countries before 2100?

3

3 forecasters

Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the contiguous US, before 2027?

71.5% chance

7

41

41 forecasters

71.5%chance

When will the WHO announce that the 2026 Bundibugyo Ebola PHEIC in DRC and Uganda is over?

20 May 2028 (11 Nov 2027 - 10 Jan 2029)

1

10

10 forecasters

20 May 2028

(11 Nov 2027 - 10 Jan 2029)

Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?

99% chance

24

145

145 forecasters

99%chance

In the InfoGripe bulletin published on or immediately before June 25, 2026, which respiratory virus will be the single most prevalent among positive SRAG cases nationally over the most recent 4-week window?

87

87 forecasters

Forecasting the Future of Animals: $3,400 in prizes

9

Suggest questions to launch

120

2.8k 2.8k comments

By five years after AGI, will an engineered pandemic have infected one billion people?

10% chance

5

56

56 forecasters

10%chance

Build Your Own Forecasting Bot in 30 Minutes With Our Tutorial Video

8

When will a digital model of the C. elegans nervous system reproduce the organism’s full behavioral repertoire with at least 90% accuracy?

2050 Year (2039 - 2062)

2

14

14 forecasters

2050 Year

(2039 - 2062)

Key Findings from Frontiers in Disease Prevention with Coefficient Giving

6

Will the United States report any locally acquired New World screwworm infestation (in a human or an animal) before 2027?

result: yes

3

31

31 forecasters

ResolvedYes