0 comments
101 forecasters
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
2%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
95 forecasters
How many farmed birds will be killed in the United States due to bird flu in 2025?
Latest estimate
40.7M birds
This question is closed for forecasting.
96 comments
96 forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 20.00% on 2025-11-07 for the Metaculus question "Will the PEPFAR program cease to exist before January 1, 2026?"?
resultNo
0 comments
106 forecasters
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
15%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
83 forecasters
How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?
Latest estimate
77.2 cases
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
109 forecasters
Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?
14%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
14 comments
17 forecasters
What proportion of tested influenza sequences will CDC report as influenza A during the 2025-26 season through the end of April 2026?
Current estimate
83.5%
12 comments
15 forecasters
What proportions of influenza A subtype sequences will CDC report during the 2025-2026 season?
H1N153.8
H3N243.6
H5<0.1
0 comments
94 forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 20.00% on 2025-10-22 for the Metaculus question "Will the PEPFAR program cease to exist before January 1, 2026?"?
resultNo