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Report: Pro Forecasters Expect Steady NIH and NSF Funding

5
22 comments
Research Agencies Outlook
0 comments
92 forecasters

How much money in billions of USD will NIH award in Research Project Grants in the 2025 Fiscal Year 2025 (Oct 1, 2024 - Sep 30, 2025)?

Latest estimate
24.1 Billion USD

This question is closed for forecasting.

🤖 The Fall AI Benchmark Tournament and MiniBench are now open!

4
0 comments
0 comments
6 forecasters

When will a synthetic biology platform effectively degrade pesticides in field conditions?

Current estimate
Dec 2035

Build Your Own Forecasting Bot in 30 Minutes With Our Tutorial Video

8
1616 comments
23 comments
81 forecasters

Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?

1.5%chance
1.3% this week

Suggest questions to launch

121
2.8k2.8k comments
Metaculus Meta
12 comments
48 forecasters

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

resultNo
13 comments
40 forecasters

If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

Current estimate
0.85%
9 comments
34 forecasters

Will the World Health Organization prequalify moxidectin before 2027?

85%chance
7% this week