Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
❓
Top Questions
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
💎
Metaculus Cup
⏳
AI 2027
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
Report: Pro Forecasters Expect Steady NIH and NSF Funding
5
2
2
comments
Research Agencies Outlook
0
comments
92
forecasters
How much money in billions of USD will NIH award in Research Project Grants in the 2025 Fiscal Year 2025 (Oct 1, 2024 - Sep 30, 2025)?
Latest estimate
24.1 Billion USD
This question is closed for forecasting.
🤖 The Fall AI Benchmark Tournament and MiniBench are now open!
4
0
comments
0
comments
6
forecasters
When will a synthetic biology platform effectively degrade pesticides in field conditions?
Current estimate
Dec 2035
Build Your Own Forecasting Bot in 30 Minutes With Our Tutorial Video
8
16
16
comments
23
comments
81
forecasters
Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?
1.5%
chance
1.3%
this week
Suggest questions to launch
121
2.8k
2.8k
comments
Metaculus Meta
12
comments
48
forecasters
Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?
result
No
13
comments
40
forecasters
If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?
Current estimate
0.85%
9
comments
34
forecasters
Will the World Health Organization prequalify moxidectin before 2027?
85%
chance
7%
this week
Load More