Will WHO declare hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2027?0.1% chance52020 comments105105 forecasters0.1%chance
Pandemic series: a major naturally-originated pandemic by 2026?result: yes434949 comments238238 forecastersResolvedYes
What will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease in the following years?833 comments6161 forecasters
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026? → Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?77 comments2525 forecasters
How many infections of novel Henipavirus will have occurred before 2023?Annulled1133 comments1515 forecastersAnnulled
Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?result: no944 comments8383 forecastersResolvedNo
Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2030?18% chance122 comments2222 forecasters18%chance
Will CDC report at least one newly identified human infection with a novel influenza A virus in the United States before May 1, 2026?result: no121121 comments122122 forecastersResolvedNo