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What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

RSV3.58

Flu9.99

COVID-194.37

condition

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

24 forecasters

if yes

if no

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

13%

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

7 7 comments

24 forecasters

Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

condition

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

21 forecasters

if yes

if no

If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

0.609

If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

0.942

10 10 comments

21 forecasters

Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

23 comments

85 forecasters

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

Current estimate

82.2 cases

36 comments

218 forecasters

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

1.1%chance

49 comments

76 forecasters

Will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000 before 2025?

resultNo

2 comments

59 forecasters

Will the WHO declare an avian influenza virus in humans a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2030?

59%chance

12 comments

51 forecasters

How many pigs will be culled because of an infectious disease outbreak, in the largest such occurrence, between 2021 and 2023?

community

848k

result

231k

2 comments

16 forecasters

When will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000?

Current estimate

Jun 2032

34 comments

301 forecasters

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.