What will be the maximum weekly new hospital admissions per 100,000 for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2026/27 season?177 comments99 forecasters
Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2030?18% chance122 comments2020 forecasters18%chance
Will a novel human-infectious pandemic originate in these countries before 2100?11 comment33 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?25% chance342727 comments231231 forecasters25%chance
Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2027?1.3% chance21212 comments2525 forecasters1.3%chance
Will WHO declare hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2027?0.1% chance52020 comments117117 forecasters0.1%chance
Pandemic series: a major naturally-originated pandemic by 2026?result: yes434949 comments238238 forecastersResolvedYes
Respiratory Outlook July Update: Screwworm continues US spread as Ebola outbreak surges in DRC40 comments
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026? → Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?77 comments2525 forecasters
Will Israel be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?40% chance51414 comments6666 forecasters40%chance
Will there be any human cases of the novel coronavirus, HKU5-CoV-2, before July 1, 2025?result: no8787 comments7878 forecastersResolvedNo
When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?32424 comments2222 forecasters
What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?33434 comments2626 forecasters
Will the undiagnosed disease currently spreading in the Democratic Republic of the Congo be identified as Influenza, RSV, or COVID-19 before January 7, 2025?result: no71212 comments5353 forecastersResolvedNo