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17
comments
19
forecasters
What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?
RSV
3.52
Flu
9.66
COVID-19
3.53
1 other
Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season
6
0
comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
condition
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
25
forecasters
if yes
if no
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
7%
7%
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
0%
0%
7
7
comments
25
25
forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
36
comments
183
forecasters
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
1%
chance
condition
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
21
forecasters
if yes
if no
If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?
0.614
If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?
0.951
10
10
comments
21
21
forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
17
comments
19
forecasters
When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?
00
10
comments
9
forecasters
Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2027?
15%
chance
46
comments
18
forecasters
What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season?
Combined
result:
20.9
Flu
result:
8.9
COVID-19
result:
7.7
1 other
13
comments
56
forecasters
How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?
Current estimate
105k deaths/year
49
comments
76
forecasters
Will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000 before 2025?
result
No
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