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Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season

4
0 comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
10 comments
8 forecasters

Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2027?

15%chance
5% this week
10 comments
17 forecasters

What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

RSV3.48
Flu9.78
COVID-194.09
8 comments
73 forecasters

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

Current estimate
35.5k deaths
13 comments
18 forecasters

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

00
41 comments
143 forecasters

Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023?

resultYes
21 comments
19 forecasters

Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025?

United Kingdomresult: Yes
United Statesresult: Yes
Zambiaresult: Yes
79 comments
218 forecasters

How many human infections of monkeypox will be estimated to have occurred before 2023, worldwide?

community
104k
result
Ambiguous
9 comments
29 forecasters

When will the next Public Health Emergency of International Concern be declared by the WHO?

community
04 Oct 2022
result
23 Jul 2022 10:11
12 comments
51 forecasters

How many pigs will be culled because of an infectious disease outbreak, in the largest such occurrence, between 2021 and 2023?

community
848k
result
231k