2 comments
66 forecasters
Will the WHO declare an avian influenza virus in humans a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2030?
33%chance
7% this week
70 comments
118 forecasters
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2025?
resultNo
36 comments
182 forecasters
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
2%chance
45 comments
30 forecasters
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before Sept 30, 2024?
resultNo
52 comments
44 forecasters
If at least 100 human cases of H5N1 are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?
4 comments
21 forecasters
Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?
61.8%chance