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Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2027?

Current estimate

Revealed

in 3 days

9 comments

17 forecasters

What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

RSV3.5

Flu9.78

COVID-194.08

13 comments

18 forecasters

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

2 comments

60 forecasters

Will the WHO declare an avian influenza virus in humans a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2030?

45%chance

14% this week

9 comments

29 forecasters

When will the next Public Health Emergency of International Concern be declared by the WHO?

community

04 Oct 2022

result

23 Jul 2022 10:11

49 comments

27 forecasters

Will the US confirm Clade I mpox infections before October 1, 2024?

resultNo

41 comments

143 forecasters

Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023?

resultYes

9 comments

39 forecasters

Will the CDC confirm a case of Clade I mpox in a US resident before August 23, 2024?

resultNo

55 comments

32 forecasters

Will the CDC confirm a case of Clade I mpox in a US resident before August 23, 2024?

resultNo

21 comments

19 forecasters

Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025?

United Kingdomresult: Yes

United Statesresult: Yes

Zambiaresult: Yes