0 comments
109 forecasters
Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?
14%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
107 forecasters
Will an H5 virus receive an "emergence" risk rating categorized as "high" by the US CDC Influenza Risk Assessment Tool before January 1, 2026?
10%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
88 forecasters
What will be CDC’s highest assessment of the risk posed by H5 bird flu to the US general public before January 1, 2026?
Low78.1%
Moderate (or medium or equivalent)18.8%
High (or above, such as Very High)3.1%
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
97 forecasters
Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?
15%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
32 comments
161 forecasters
How many people will die from the new Ebola outbreak before 2026?
Current estimate
46.3 Deaths
12 comments
215 forecasters
How many farmed birds will be killed in the United States due to bird flu in 2025?
Current estimate
56.4M birds
10 comments
17 forecasters
What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?
RSV3.49
Flu9.81
COVID-193.85
1 comment
18 forecasters
Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?
SMEE44%
Naura35%
AMEC30%