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By 2023, will there be evidence for a neurological correlate of human consciousness?

result: no

14
1010 comments
67
67 forecasters
ResolvedNo

When will ex vivo human brain tissue be used in at least 10 peer-reviewed studies in one year for the first time?

2030 Year (2028 - 2033)

11 comment
1
1 forecaster
2030 Year
(2028 - 2033)

When will the following milestones in mapping and reconstruction of a mouse (or larger) brain be completed?

3
0 comments
6
6 forecasters

Assuming the neuronal input-output FRO is funded by 2025, will a tool be developed, before 2031, that can perturb neurons in C. elegans and record from all neurons simultaneously?

80% chance

4
66 comments
15
15 forecasters
80%chance

Assuming the neuronal input-output FRO is funded by 2025, will a model of the C. elegans nervous system be developed, before 2031, that can predict what every neuron will do when one is stimulated?

25% chance

3
88 comments
16
16 forecasters
25%chance

Will a exascale volume of connectome be mapped and revealed to the public by June 2031?

57% chance

13
11 comment
30
30 forecasters
57%chance

Before 2030, will C. elegans be uploaded to the satisfaction of top computational neuroscientists?

20% chance

33
2222 comments
119
119 forecasters
20%chance

Before 2028, will studies show that humans have functionally important neurogenesis throughout their life?

75% chance

14
99 comments
111
111 forecasters
75%chance

Erik Hoel & Claimed Public Figure Pages

6
0 comments

Action Ontologies, Computer Ontologies

19
11 comment