Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
2
comments
9
forecasters
Will OpenAI file an initial registration statement (S-1) with the SEC to launch an IPO before 2027?
44%
chance
41%
this week
$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1
8
6
6
comments
AI Pathways Tournament
0
comments
108
forecasters
Will Fathom Radiant ship a commercial product before 2026?
8%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
18
comments
49
forecasters
What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies?
AAPL
result:
102.466B
$
AMD
result:
9.246B
$
AMZN
result:
180.169B
$
5 others
0
comments
32
forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?
OVH
29%
Google Cloud
12%
Amazon Web Services
11%
1 other
2
comments
40
forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?
OVH
25%
Microsoft Azure
5%
Amazon Web Services
5%
1 other
0
comments
7
forecasters
Will OpenAI file an initial registration statement (S-1) with the SEC to launch an IPO, before December 15, 2025?
13%
chance
8
comments
52
forecasters
What will be the difference in net worth between the two richest people on January 1, 2026?
Current estimate
167B $
9
comments
40
forecasters
At the end of May 2023, will these individuals' signature be in the FLI open letter to pause giant AI experiments?
Mark Zuckerberg
result:
No
Sundar Pichai
result:
No
Sam Altman
result:
No
2 others
54
comments
163
forecasters
Will a S&P500 tech boom surpass the dotcom bubble for one quarter or more before 2025?
result
Yes
Load More