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3
comments
39
forecasters
What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?
Current estimate
61.4%
1
comment
4
forecasters
Will Helion deliver ≥50 MW to Microsoft under their fusion PPA before January 1, 2030?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 2 days
13
comments
66
forecasters
On December 1, 2025, what will be the world's most valuable company by market cap?
Nvidia
91.2%
Microsoft
5.9%
Apple
2.8%
2 others
0%
6
comments
14
forecasters
Will a high fidelity fermentation test that costs under $10 be commercially available before 2035?
5%
chance
5%
this week
Contributed by the
AI 2025 Forecasting Survey
community.
1
comment
9
forecasters
What will be the best score on Cybench by December 31st 2025?
Current estimate
82.6%
7
comments
133
forecasters
Which year will OpenAI, DeepMind, or Anthropic first reach a valuation of at least $1 trillion?
2026
37.1%
2027
32.5%
2028
14.2%
3 others
16%
5
comments
15
forecasters
Will Tesla operate 400,000 driverless robotaxis over any three consecutive months before 2032?
50%
chance
6%
this week
0
comments
31
forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?
OVH
29%
Google Cloud
14.2%
Microsoft Azure
14%
1 other
2
comments
51
forecasters
Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?
99.9%
chance
2
comments
39
forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?
OVH
25%
Amazon Web Services
5%
Microsoft Azure
5%
1 other
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