89 comments
84 forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 45.00% on 2025-09-11 for the Metaculus question "Will OpenAI, DeepMind, or Anthropic have revenue of at least $100B in 2027?"?
resultYes
14 comments
85 forecasters
Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026?
Google DeepMind13%
Microsoft5%
xAI3%
3 comments
13 forecasters
When will the New York Times publish an article that it claims or acknowledges is 100% written by AI?
In 2026-202744.7%
In 2028-202924.6%
2030 or later21.6%
4 comments
81 forecasters
Will a third LIGO detector be built in India before 2028?
6%chance
19% this week
53 comments
297 forecasters
Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world on December 31, 2025?
74%chance
8% this week
35 comments
1.4k forecasters
Will Elon Musk be the world's richest person on December 31, 2025?
75%chance
12% this week
0 comments
29 forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?
OVH16%
Microsoft Azure14%
Google Cloud12%
0 comments
29 forecasters
Between 2023 and 2030, will revenue from deep learning double every two years?
40%chance
20% this week