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3 comments
39 forecasters

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

Current estimate
61.4%
1 comment
4 forecasters

Will Helion deliver ≥50 MW to Microsoft under their fusion PPA before January 1, 2030?

Current estimate
Revealed in 2 days
13 comments
66 forecasters

On December 1, 2025, what will be the world's most valuable company by market cap?

Nvidia91.2%
Microsoft5.9%
Apple2.8%
6 comments
14 forecasters

Will a high fidelity fermentation test that costs under $10 be commercially available before 2035?

5%chance
5% this week

Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.

1 comment
9 forecasters

What will be the best score on Cybench by December 31st 2025?

Current estimate
82.6%
7 comments
133 forecasters

Which year will OpenAI, DeepMind, or Anthropic first reach a valuation of at least $1 trillion?

202637.1%
202732.5%
202814.2%
5 comments
15 forecasters

Will Tesla operate 400,000 driverless robotaxis over any three consecutive months before 2032?

50%chance
6% this week
0 comments
31 forecasters

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

OVH29%
Google Cloud14.2%
Microsoft Azure14%
2 comments
51 forecasters

Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?

99.9%chance
2 comments
39 forecasters

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?

OVH25%
Amazon Web Services5%
Microsoft Azure5%