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2 comments
9 forecasters

Will OpenAI file an initial registration statement (S-1) with the SEC to launch an IPO before 2027?

44%chance
41% this week

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
66 comments
AI Pathways Tournament
0 comments
108 forecasters

Will Fathom Radiant ship a commercial product before 2026?

8%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

18 comments
49 forecasters

What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies?

AAPLresult: 102.466B $
AMDresult: 9.246B $
AMZNresult: 180.169B $
0 comments
32 forecasters

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

OVH29%
Google Cloud12%
Amazon Web Services11%
2 comments
40 forecasters

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?

OVH25%
Microsoft Azure5%
Amazon Web Services5%
0 comments
7 forecasters

Will OpenAI file an initial registration statement (S-1) with the SEC to launch an IPO, before December 15, 2025?

13%chance
8 comments
52 forecasters

What will be the difference in net worth between the two richest people on January 1, 2026?

Current estimate
167B $
9 comments
40 forecasters

At the end of May 2023, will these individuals' signature be in the FLI open letter to pause giant AI experiments?

Mark Zuckerbergresult: No
Sundar Pichairesult: No
Sam Altmanresult: No
54 comments
163 forecasters

Will a S&P500 tech boom surpass the dotcom bubble for one quarter or more before 2025?

resultYes