169 comments
243 forecasters
Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will come to pass?
Futurama30%
AI-Dystopia23.7%
Singularia18.9%
80 comments
621 forecasters
Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?
35%chance
5% this week
20 comments
287 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
24%chance
7 comments
192 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?
1%chance
0 comments
5 forecasters
How many scientific journal articles will be published in the following years?
15 comments
281 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?
29.2%chance
14 comments
44 forecasters
Will Metaculus anticipate the biggest unforeseen trend of the 2020s?
29.4%chance