1 comment
11 forecasters
What will the share of high impact AI publications from China be in 2027?
Current estimate
46.6%
0 comments
5 forecasters
How many scientific journal articles will be published in the following years?
4 comments
12 forecasters
On June 30, 2027, where will most of Metaculus' impact come from?
Indirect Impact (Questions on the Platform)30%
Direct Impact (Programs with Partners)26%
Indirect and Direct Impact, Roughly Equally20%
11 comments
13 forecasters
What will be the average impact score, as judged in 2032, for achieving the milestone of reducing antibiotic resistance in strains of pathogenic bacteria by 90% in a high-density fish pond?
Scientific Impact Score5.68
Social Impact Score5.49
This question is closed for forecasting.
8 comments
8 forecasters
What will be the average impact score, as judged in 2032, for accomplishing the milestone of a 90% reduction in antibiotic resistance of pathogenic bacteria in an aquarium?
Scientific Impact Score4.5
Social Impact Score2.95
This question is closed for forecasting.
18 comments
10 forecasters
What will be the average impact score, as judged in 2032, for accomplishing the milestone of conducting knock-out testing of all recombinant antibodies for 10k proteins?
Scientific Impact Score5.61
Social Impact Score4.64
This question is closed for forecasting.