3 comments
5 forecasters
How many doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031?
Engineering10k
Physics548
Microbiology and immunology543
1 comment
11 forecasters
What will the share of high impact AI publications from China be in 2027?
Current estimate
46.6%
6 comments
52 forecasters
Pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard by 2021?
resultNo
0 comments
5 forecasters
How many scientific journal articles will be published in the following years?
4 comments
12 forecasters
On June 30, 2027, where will most of Metaculus' impact come from?
Indirect Impact (Questions on the Platform)30%
Direct Impact (Programs with Partners)26%
Indirect and Direct Impact, Roughly Equally20%
11 comments
13 forecasters
What will be the average impact score, as judged in 2032, for achieving the milestone of reducing antibiotic resistance in strains of pathogenic bacteria by 90% in a high-density fish pond?
Scientific Impact Score5.68
Social Impact Score5.49
This question is closed for forecasting.