44 comments
434 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?
28%chance
Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.
0 comments
9 forecasters
What percentage of Americans will identify computers/technology advancement as the US's most important problem by December 31st 2025?
Current estimate
0.54%
1 comment
16 forecasters
Will an international organization release a report estimating that space-based technologies have contributed to a 5% or greater increase in agricultural yields in any country before 2031?
65%chance
9 comments
183 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?
2%chance
1 comment
8 forecasters
Will at least 20% of respondents name "advancement of computers/technology" as the most important problem facing the US in 2030?
Your forecast of Crowd Median42%
Your forecast3%
0 comments
5 forecasters