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44 comments
436 forecasters

Ragnarรถk Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

30%chance

Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.

0 comments
9 forecasters

What percentage of Americans will identify computers/technology advancement as the US's most important problem by December 31st 2025?

Current estimate
0.589%

Monitor AIโ€™s Expansion Across Society With the AI Diffusion Index

5
66 comments
1 comment
16 forecasters

Will an international organization release a report estimating that space-based technologies have contributed to a 5% or greater increase in agricultural yields in any country before 2031?

65%chance
0 comments
5 forecasters

How many scientific journal articles will be published in the following years?

1 comment
8 forecasters

Will at least 20% of respondents name "advancement of computers/technology" as the most important problem facing the US in 2030?

Your forecast of Crowd Median42%
Your forecast3%

๐Ÿ—ž๏ธ New News

7
66 comments

Streamlined, LLM-Enhanced Question Discovery

20
1010 comments

๐Ÿงญ Find Forecasts Faster With Our New Sidebar

17
2525 comments

Orbital Allies: How Space Technology Fuels Sustainable Development and Climate Action

9
11 comment
Space Technology & Climate