43 comments
422 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?
21%chance
0 comments
5 forecasters
How many scientific journal articles will be published in the following years?
1 comment
16 forecasters
Will an international organization release a report estimating that space-based technologies have contributed to a 5% or greater increase in agricultural yields in any country before 2031?
70%chance
Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.
0 comments
8 forecasters
What percentage of Americans will identify computers/technology advancement as the US's most important problem by December 31st 2025?
Current estimate
1.28%
1 comment
8 forecasters
Will at least 20% of respondents name "advancement of computers/technology" as the most important problem facing the US in 2030?
Your forecast of Crowd Median42%
Your forecast3%