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$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
44 comments
AI Pathways Tournament

Platform feature suggestions

113
3.1k3.1k comments
Metaculus Meta
0 comments
106 forecasters

Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?

5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

1 comment
16 forecasters

Will an international organization release a report estimating that space-based technologies have contributed to a 5% or greater increase in agricultural yields in any country before 2031?

65%chance
16% this week

Suggest questions to launch

121
2.8k2.8k comments
Metaculus Meta

🤖 The Fall AI Benchmark Tournament and MiniBench are now open!

4
0 comments
21 comments
303 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

30%chance
44 comments
434 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

27%chance

Monitor AI’s Expansion Across Society With the AI Diffusion Index

5
66 comments

Introducing Comments of the Week

16
1818 comments