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Metaculus Meta

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
66 comments
AI Pathways Tournament
0 comments
106 forecasters

Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?

5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

Oct 29 Update of Activities for Foresight Grant

0 comments

🤖 The Fall AI Benchmark Tournament and MiniBench are now open!

4
0 comments
44 comments
436 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

30%chance
21 comments
309 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

30%chance

Economic Impacts of Artificial General Intelligence

10
0 comments
AI Progress Essay Contest

Introducing Comments of the Week

16
1818 comments
169 comments
247 forecasters

Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will come to pass?

Futurama29.1%
AI-Dystopia25.3%
Singularia20.3%