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3 comments
33 forecasters

What will the combined sector weighting of Information Technology and Communications be, in the S&P 500 on 2030-01-01?

Latest estimate
47.1

This question is closed for forecasting.

Monitor AI’s Expansion Across Society With the AI Diffusion Index

5
66 comments

Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.

0 comments
9 forecasters

What percentage of Americans will identify computers/technology advancement as the US's most important problem by December 31st 2025?

Current estimate
0.54%
169 comments
245 forecasters

Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will come to pass?

Futurama31.1%
AI-Dystopia23.6%
Singularia19.3%

🗞️ New News

7
66 comments

The Understanding AI Series With Timothy Lee

8
0 comments
Understanding AI With Timothy B. Lee

Streamlined, LLM-Enhanced Question Discovery

20
1010 comments

Orbital Allies: How Space Technology Fuels Sustainable Development and Climate Action

9
11 comment
Space Technology & Climate

⚕️Primum Non Nocere: A Physician’s Perspective on AI in Medicine

10
0 comments
Metaculus Journal Archives

A brief but hopeful vignette

4
11 comment
AI Progress Essay Contest