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3
comments
33
forecasters
What will the combined sector weighting of Information Technology and Communications be, in the S&P 500 on 2030-01-01?
Latest estimate
47.1
This question is closed for forecasting.
Monitor AI’s Expansion Across Society With the AI Diffusion Index
5
6
6
comments
Contributed by the
AI 2025 Forecasting Survey
community.
0
comments
9
forecasters
What percentage of Americans will identify computers/technology advancement as the US's most important problem by December 31st 2025?
Current estimate
0.54%
169
comments
245
forecasters
Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will come to pass?
Futurama
31.1%
AI-Dystopia
23.6%
Singularia
19.3%
2 others
26%
🗞️ New News
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The Understanding AI Series With Timothy Lee
8
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Understanding AI With Timothy B. Lee
Streamlined, LLM-Enhanced Question Discovery
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10
comments
Orbital Allies: How Space Technology Fuels Sustainable Development and Climate Action
9
1
1
comment
Space Technology & Climate
⚕️Primum Non Nocere: A Physician’s Perspective on AI in Medicine
10
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comments
Metaculus Journal Archives
A brief but hopeful vignette
4
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AI Progress Essay Contest
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