3 comments
33 forecasters
What will the combined sector weighting of Information Technology and Communications be, in the S&P 500 on 2030-01-01?
Latest estimate
47.1
This question is closed for forecasting.
169 comments
246 forecasters
Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will come to pass?
Futurama30.6%
AI-Dystopia24.5%
Singularia18.9%
Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.
0 comments
9 forecasters
What percentage of Americans will identify computers/technology advancement as the US's most important problem by December 31st 2025?
Current estimate
0.543%
9 comments
183 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?
2%chance