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Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.

3 comments
12 forecasters

What will be the best performance on OSWorld by December 31st 2025?

Current estimate
70.6%
51 comments
226 forecasters

Before July 1, 2023, will an agentized-LLM system improve itself?

resultNo

Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.

1 comment
9 forecasters

What will be the best score on Cybench by December 31st 2025?

Current estimate
82.6%
8 comments
31 forecasters

When will a computer program be listed as an author in journal article in the Annals of Mathematics?

Current estimate
01 Jun 2029

Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.

0 comments
15 forecasters

What will be the best performance on SWE-bench Verified by December 31st 2025?

Current estimate
87.5 score
7 comments
33 forecasters

What percent of ArXiv AI publications in the calendar year 2019 will be in the subcategory “Computation and Language”?

community
16
result
15.21
7 comments
53 forecasters

Will there be more ArXiv AI publications in the “Computation and Language” subcategory than in the “Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition” subcategory in the calendar year 2019?

resultNo

Computability and Complexity

16
11 comment
Metaculus Journal Archives

Tech Futures - 52 Conversation Starters

2
33 comments

Take the Research Impact Challenge

0 comments