7 comments
23 forecasters
What will state-of-the-art top-1 accuracy on the APPS Benchmark introductory problems be from 2022 to 2025?
Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.
0 comments
15 forecasters
What will be the best performance on SWE-bench Verified by December 31st 2025?
Current estimate
87.8 score
Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.
1 comment
9 forecasters
What will be the best score on Cybench by December 31st 2025?
Current estimate
76.6%
Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.
2 comments
11 forecasters
What will be the best performance on OSWorld by December 31st 2025?
Current estimate
70.1%
7 comments
33 forecasters
What percent of ArXiv AI publications in the calendar year 2019 will be in the subcategory “Computation and Language”?
8 comments
30 forecasters
When will a computer program be listed as an author in journal article in the Annals of Mathematics?
Current estimate
06 Nov 2029
7 comments
53 forecasters
Will there be more ArXiv AI publications in the “Computation and Language” subcategory than in the “Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition” subcategory in the calendar year 2019?
resultNo