626 comments
1.8k forecasters
When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?
Current estimate
Oct 2033
0 comments
31 forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?
OVH29%
Google Cloud14.2%
Microsoft Azure14%
2 comments
39 forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?
OVH25%
Microsoft Azure5%
Amazon Web Services5%
2 comments
35 forecasters
Will any of the following Western AI chip makers have any of their AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2033?
AMD5%
Nvidia5%
Google5%
51 comments
173 forecasters
When will an original, wholly AI-generated feature film rank #1 on a popular streaming service?
Current estimate
15 Aug 2029
38 comments
103 forecasters
When will AI wholly create an original, critically-acclaimed feature film?
Current estimate
Apr 2031