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10
comments
21
forecasters
When will the remaining six Millennium Prize problems be solved?
00
17
comments
19
forecasters
When will an AI system, operating independently, solve or determine the undecidability of a Millennium Prize Problem and have its proof or disproof published in a peer-reviewed mathematics journal?
Current estimate
Jan 2038
8
comments
31
forecasters
When will a computer program be listed as an author in journal article in the Annals of Mathematics?
Current estimate
01 Jun 2029
15
comments
52
forecasters
What will be the exponent of the fastest known polynomial-time matrix multiplication algorithm in 2029?
Current estimate
2.37
Contributed by the
AI 2025 Forecasting Survey
community.
7
comments
21
forecasters
What will be the best performance on FrontierMath by December 31st 2025?
Current estimate
54.8%
3
comments
18
forecasters
When will an AI solve half the questions on a Miklós Schweitzer competition?
Current estimate
23 Sep 2026
1
comment
35
forecasters
When will AI be capable of getting a perfect score on the Miklós Schweitzer Competition?
Current estimate
17 Jul 2029
2
comments
39
forecasters
Before January 1, 2026, what will be the highest compression factor achieved for the Hutter Prize?
Current estimate
9.04
6
comments
33
forecasters
Will high-impact research on reducing the sample complexity of Large Language Model pretraining be forthcoming before 2026?
55%
chance
4
comments
48
forecasters
When will AI be capable of getting a perfect score on the Putnam Mathematical Competition?
Current estimate
24 Jan 2028
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