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16
comments
23
forecasters
Will there be an exponential improvement in the bounds on diagonal Ramsey by 2060?
92%
chance
19
comments
20
forecasters
When will an AI system, operating independently, solve or determine the undecidability of a Millennium Prize Problem and have its proof or disproof published in a peer-reviewed mathematics journal?
Current estimate
Sep 2035
Key Factors
Advances in automated theorem proving and formal verification tools.
Progress in hybrid neural–symbolic reasoning systems.
Institutional adoption of AI collaboration in mathematical research.
15
comments
52
forecasters
What will be the exponent of the fastest known polynomial-time matrix multiplication algorithm in 2029?
Current estimate
2.37
3
comments
18
forecasters
When will an AI solve half the questions on a Miklós Schweitzer competition?
Current estimate
15 Dec 2026
8
comments
31
forecasters
When will a computer program be listed as an author in journal article in the Annals of Mathematics?
Current estimate
01 Jun 2029
Contributed by the
AI 2025 Forecasting Survey
community.
7
comments
21
forecasters
What will be the best performance on FrontierMath by December 31st 2025?
Current estimate
49.7%
1
comment
35
forecasters
When will AI be capable of getting a perfect score on the Miklós Schweitzer Competition?
Current estimate
22 Sep 2029
4
comments
48
forecasters
When will AI be capable of getting a perfect score on the Putnam Mathematical Competition?
Current estimate
10 Mar 2028
2
comments
6
forecasters
Before January 1, 2026, what will be the highest compression factor achieved for the Hutter Prize?
Current estimate
9.04
10
comments
21
forecasters
When will the remaining six Millennium Prize problems be solved?
00
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