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2 comments
13 forecasters

What will be the best proven upper bound on the infimum of S in 2120?

Current estimate
0.506
19 comments
20 forecasters

When will an AI system, operating independently, solve or determine the undecidability of a Millennium Prize Problem and have its proof or disproof published in a peer-reviewed mathematics journal?

Current estimate
Jun 2035

Key Factors

16 comments
23 forecasters

Will there be an exponential improvement in the bounds on diagonal Ramsey by 2060?

92%chance
6 comments
61 forecasters

When will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved?

Current estimate
May 2031
8 comments
31 forecasters

When will a computer program be listed as an author in journal article in the Annals of Mathematics?

Current estimate
01 Jun 2029
15 comments
52 forecasters

What will be the exponent of the fastest known polynomial-time matrix multiplication algorithm in 2029?

Current estimate
2.37

Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.

7 comments
21 forecasters

What will be the best performance on FrontierMath by December 31st 2025?

Current estimate
49.7%
2 comments
6 forecasters

Before January 1, 2026, what will be the highest compression factor achieved for the Hutter Prize?

Current estimate
9.04
10 comments
21 forecasters

When will the remaining six Millennium Prize problems be solved?

00
3 comments
18 forecasters

When will an AI solve half the questions on a Miklós Schweitzer competition?

Current estimate
15 Dec 2026