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16 comments
23 forecasters

Will there be an exponential improvement in the bounds on diagonal Ramsey by 2060?

92%chance
19 comments
20 forecasters

When will an AI system, operating independently, solve or determine the undecidability of a Millennium Prize Problem and have its proof or disproof published in a peer-reviewed mathematics journal?

Current estimate
Sep 2035

Key Factors

15 comments
52 forecasters

What will be the exponent of the fastest known polynomial-time matrix multiplication algorithm in 2029?

Current estimate
2.37
3 comments
18 forecasters

When will an AI solve half the questions on a Miklós Schweitzer competition?

Current estimate
15 Dec 2026
8 comments
31 forecasters

When will a computer program be listed as an author in journal article in the Annals of Mathematics?

Current estimate
01 Jun 2029

Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.

7 comments
21 forecasters

What will be the best performance on FrontierMath by December 31st 2025?

Current estimate
49.7%
1 comment
35 forecasters

When will AI be capable of getting a perfect score on the Miklós Schweitzer Competition?

Current estimate
22 Sep 2029
4 comments
48 forecasters

When will AI be capable of getting a perfect score on the Putnam Mathematical Competition?

Current estimate
10 Mar 2028
2 comments
6 forecasters

Before January 1, 2026, what will be the highest compression factor achieved for the Hutter Prize?

Current estimate
9.04
10 comments
21 forecasters

When will the remaining six Millennium Prize problems be solved?

00