Question Feed | Metaculus

Topics

❓

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

OVH16%

Microsoft Azure14%

Google Cloud12%

1 comment

24 forecasters

Before January 1, 2031, will a unified digital identity protocol enable interaction with at least three different governance frameworks (financial, legal, and civic)?

20%chance

10% this week

73 comments

97 forecasters

Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026?

Sam Bankman-Friedresult: Yes

Caroline Ellisonresult: Yes

Gary Wangresult: Yes

13 comments

38 forecasters

Will a cryptocurrency be created using a quantum random number generator by 2036?

67%chance

0 comments

41 forecasters

How many entities will be allowed to use blockchain applications in China by 2024?

community

177

result

164

🇨🇳 Round 2: Chinese AI Chips Tournament

0 comments

Chinese AI Chips

13 comments

147 forecasters

In the year ending November 2nd, 2020, will blockchain-enabled systems be applied to issues of substantial geopolitical importance?

resultNo

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

Before January 1, 2031, will a unified digital identity protocol enable interaction with at least three different governance frameworks (financial, legal, and civic)?

Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026?

Will a cryptocurrency be created using a quantum random number generator by 2036?

How many entities will be allowed to use blockchain applications in China by 2024?

🇨🇳 Round 2: Chinese AI Chips Tournament

In the year ending November 2nd, 2020, will blockchain-enabled systems be applied to issues of substantial geopolitical importance?

On the Proliferation of NFTs in the Blue-Chip Contemporary Art Sector

Metaculus x Tezos Collab

Elliptic Curves, Diophantine Equations, and Cryptography

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

Before January 1, 2031, will a unified digital identity protocol enable interaction with at least three different governance frameworks (financial, legal, and civic)?

Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026?

Will a cryptocurrency be created using a quantum random number generator by 2036?

How many entities will be allowed to use blockchain applications in China by 2024?

🇨🇳 Round 2: Chinese AI Chips Tournament

In the year ending November 2nd, 2020, will blockchain-enabled systems be applied to issues of substantial geopolitical importance?

On the Proliferation of NFTs in the Blue-Chip Contemporary Art Sector

Metaculus x Tezos Collab

Elliptic Curves, Diophantine Equations, and Cryptography