Will an AI independently gain unauthorized access to a computer system at the following levels from September to December 2026?11111 comments115115 forecasters
Will an open weight AI model achieve Mythos-level cyber capabilities before July 2027?80% chance77 comments3939 forecasters80%chance
When will an AI gain unauthorized access to systems outside its designated environment?21 Mar 2027 (22 Aug 2026 - 14 Mar 2028)21212 comments2222 forecasters21 Mar 2027 (22 Aug 2026 - 14 Mar 2028)
Will a cyberattack target a major system's data integrity before July 1, 2022?result: no233 comments3939 forecastersResolvedNo
What will be the year-over-year growth (as a %) in additions to the NVD database in the years shown?44 comments11 forecaster
How many 'hacking or malware (HACK)' data breaches will Privacy Rights Clearinghouse record in May 2018?14.8 (8.37 - 21.6)22 comments2727 forecastersResolved18