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$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
44 comments
AI Pathways Tournament
7 comments
58 forecasters

Will the EU have an average annual inflation rate of at least 2.5% for any month before December 2025?

99.9%chance
34.9% this week
3 comments
40 forecasters

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

Current estimate
61.4%

🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap

5
0 comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
0 comments
107 forecasters

Will 1 Euro be worth less than 1 US Dollar before 2026?

8%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
2 forecasters

Will the US national debt be under $38.5 trillion on December 31, 2025?

Current estimate
Revealed in 3 days
10 comments
86 forecasters

What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies?

TSLAresult: 0.39 $
AMD (annulled)Annulled
AAPL1.77
8 comments
87 forecasters

What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies?

TSLAresult: 28.095B $
AMD (annulled)Annulled
AAPL102B
0 comments
50 forecasters

Will Nancy Pelosi beat the S&P 500 in 2025?

64%chance
5 comments
7 forecasters

When will large language models exceed superforecasters’ accuracy in ForecastBench?

Current estimate
13 Jan 2027