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$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1
8
4
4
comments
AI Pathways Tournament
7
comments
58
forecasters
Will the EU have an average annual inflation rate of at least 2.5% for any month before December 2025?
99.9%
chance
34.9%
this week
3
comments
40
forecasters
What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?
Current estimate
61.4%
🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap
5
0
comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
0
comments
107
forecasters
Will 1 Euro be worth less than 1 US Dollar before 2026?
8%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
2
forecasters
Will the US national debt be under $38.5 trillion on December 31, 2025?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 3 days
10
comments
86
forecasters
What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies?
TSLA
result:
0.39
$
AMD (annulled)
Annulled
AAPL
1.77
4 others
8
comments
87
forecasters
What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies?
TSLA
result:
28.095B
$
AMD (annulled)
Annulled
AAPL
102B
4 others
0
comments
50
forecasters
Will Nancy Pelosi beat the S&P 500 in 2025?
64%
chance
5
comments
7
forecasters
When will large language models exceed superforecasters’ accuracy in ForecastBench?
Current estimate
13 Jan 2027
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