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44
comments
130
forecasters
Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?
15%
chance
7%
this week
Key Factors
US pledge to bail out Argentina already made
Show of support from Trump is possible
Milei's election victory stabilises peso speculation
condition
US Electric Vehicle Sales Share >35% in 2030?
5
forecasters
if yes
if no
US 2030 Electricity Below 11 cents per kWh?
55%
55%
US 2030 Electricity Below 11 cents per kWh?
22%
22%
1
0
comments
5
5
forecasters
0
comments
97
forecasters
What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025? (November)
Latest estimate
250
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
97
forecasters
What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025? (December)
Latest estimate
241
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
108
forecasters
Will the US national debt be under $38.5 trillion on December 31, 2025?
14.9%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
3
comments
46
forecasters
What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025?
3
comments
41
forecasters
What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?
Current estimate
61.5%
Key Factors
New lithium reserve found in McDermitt Caldera but typically takes years to develop
11
comments
117
forecasters
Will customs duties revenue to the federal government increase from $80 billion in fiscal year 2023 to $160 billion in fiscal year 2026 (in 2023 dollars)?
95%
chance
29
comments
1.2k
forecasters
Will the US Congress pass a bill implementing Trump's tariff policies in 2025?
2%
chance
Key Factors
Public Benefit by better returns on Tax & benefit of better protection.
8
comments
44
forecasters
Will Australia enter a recession before 2026?
8%
chance
7%
this week
Key Factors
Australia is the world's 20th largest economy by PPP-adjusted GDP, and has suffered only one recession (during the COVID-19 pandemic) since 1991.
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