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US Democracy Index

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Will the US national debt be under $38.5 trillion on December 31, 2025?

Current estimate

Revealed

tomorrow

3 comments

41 forecasters

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

Current estimate

61.1%

32 comments

159 forecasters

Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?

80%chance

16% this week

6 comments

13 forecasters

What will be China's share of rare earth production in 2030?

Current estimate

51.5%

2 comments

36 forecasters

Will the Economist stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030?

25%chance

10% this week

20 comments

30 forecasters

When will US seasonally adjusted annual CPI inflation fall below 3%?

community

17 Aug 2024

result

15 Jun 2024

4 comments

29 forecasters

How many zero emission light vehicles will be available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) in the United States for the following model years?

6 comments

33 forecasters

What will be the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States in the following years?

7 comments

35 forecasters

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

22%chance

19 comments

95 forecasters

Will the US national debt be under $38.5 trillion on December 31, 2025?

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?

What will be China's share of rare earth production in 2030?

Will the Economist stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030?

When will US seasonally adjusted annual CPI inflation fall below 3%?

How many zero emission light vehicles will be available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) in the United States for the following model years?

What will be the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States in the following years?

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

Will a recession begin in the United States in the following years?

Will the US national debt be under $38.5 trillion on December 31, 2025?

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?

What will be China's share of rare earth production in 2030?

Will the Economist stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030?

When will US seasonally adjusted annual CPI inflation fall below 3%?

How many zero emission light vehicles will be available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) in the United States for the following model years?

What will be the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States in the following years?

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

Will a recession begin in the United States in the following years?